Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency with August climatology, where average lows range 19–23°C amid typical summer humidity and minimal cloud cover, with no incoming fronts or anomalous wind shifts expected to alter the pattern. Trader emphasis on these thresholds reflects the narrow forecast spread and low probability of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C, given the absence of significant synoptic changes in the latest updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
23°C 68%
24°C 42%
22°C 40%
20°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
38%
19°C
36%
20°C
39%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
68%
24°C
42%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
36%
23°C 68%
24°C 42%
22°C 40%
20°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
38%
19°C
$5 Vol.
36%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$14 Vol.
68%
24°C
$0 Vol.
42%
25°C
$97 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
5%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$26 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency with August climatology, where average lows range 19–23°C amid typical summer humidity and minimal cloud cover, with no incoming fronts or anomalous wind shifts expected to alter the pattern. Trader emphasis on these thresholds reflects the narrow forecast spread and low probability of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C, given the absence of significant synoptic changes in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$158End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency with August climatology, where average lows range 19–23°C amid typical summer humidity and minimal cloud cover, with no incoming fronts or anomalous wind shifts expected to alter the pattern. Trader emphasis on these thresholds reflects the narrow forecast spread and low probability of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C, given the absence of significant synoptic changes in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$158End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency with August climatology, where average lows range 19–23°C amid typical summer humidity and minimal cloud cover, with no incoming fronts or anomalous wind shifts expected to alter the pattern. Trader emphasis on these thresholds reflects the narrow forecast spread and low probability of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C, given the absence of significant synoptic changes in the latest updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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