Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Istanbul overnight lows near 18–22°C for August 23, consistent with typical late-summer conditions driven by the region's Mediterranean climate, Black Sea influence, and weakening high-pressure systems. This positions the 16°C-or-below outcome (42% implied probability) as reflecting potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies or a modest northerly flow, while the 26°C-or-higher market (25%) accounts for limited warming from humidity or urban heat. Trader sentiment incorporates model spread and historical variability around the 20°C climatological baseline, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings amid stable patterns lacking major synoptic shifts in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
16°C or below 42%
21°C 37%
25°C 34%
18°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
42%
17°C
19%
18°C
28%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
27%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
34%
26°C or higher
16%
16°C or below 42%
21°C 37%
25°C 34%
18°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
42%
17°C
$5 Vol.
19%
18°C
$30 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$15 Vol.
19%
25°C
$27 Vol.
34%
26°C or higher
$27 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Istanbul overnight lows near 18–22°C for August 23, consistent with typical late-summer conditions driven by the region's Mediterranean climate, Black Sea influence, and weakening high-pressure systems. This positions the 16°C-or-below outcome (42% implied probability) as reflecting potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies or a modest northerly flow, while the 26°C-or-higher market (25%) accounts for limited warming from humidity or urban heat. Trader sentiment incorporates model spread and historical variability around the 20°C climatological baseline, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings amid stable patterns lacking major synoptic shifts in the past week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$114End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Istanbul overnight lows near 18–22°C for August 23, consistent with typical late-summer conditions driven by the region's Mediterranean climate, Black Sea influence, and weakening high-pressure systems. This positions the 16°C-or-below outcome (42% implied probability) as reflecting potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies or a modest northerly flow, while the 26°C-or-higher market (25%) accounts for limited warming from humidity or urban heat. Trader sentiment incorporates model spread and historical variability around the 20°C climatological baseline, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings amid stable patterns lacking major synoptic shifts in the past week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Istanbul overnight lows near 18–22°C for August 23, consistent with typical late-summer conditions driven by the region's Mediterranean climate, Black Sea influence, and weakening high-pressure systems. This positions the 16°C-or-below outcome (42% implied probability) as reflecting potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies or a modest northerly flow, while the 26°C-or-higher market (25%) accounts for limited warming from humidity or urban heat. Trader sentiment incorporates model spread and historical variability around the 20°C climatological baseline, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings amid stable patterns lacking major synoptic shifts in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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