Recent forecasts for Munich on August 24 show a split between cooler overnight minima near 8–9°C and milder values around 14–15°C, driving the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. A recent cold front has advected maritime air, holding temperatures near or slightly below late-August climatology, while ensemble models from the Met Office and European centers indicate modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and wind speeds overnight. Clear skies could enhance radiative cooling and push lows toward the colder tail, whereas increased humidity or lingering clouds would limit the diurnal drop. Upcoming model runs and DWD observations will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
6°C or below 93%
16°C or higher 91%
8°C 28%
7°C 27%
6°C or below
93%
7°C
27%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
91%
6°C or below 93%
16°C or higher 91%
8°C 28%
7°C 27%
6°C or below
93%
7°C
27%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Munich on August 24 show a split between cooler overnight minima near 8–9°C and milder values around 14–15°C, driving the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. A recent cold front has advected maritime air, holding temperatures near or slightly below late-August climatology, while ensemble models from the Met Office and European centers indicate modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and wind speeds overnight. Clear skies could enhance radiative cooling and push lows toward the colder tail, whereas increased humidity or lingering clouds would limit the diurnal drop. Upcoming model runs and DWD observations will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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