Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based runs, indicate a high of 22–25°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological August averages near 23°C and reflects stable high-pressure influence following earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 36.5% implied probability followed by 23°C and 25°C, incorporates the narrow spread across official guidance and limited model divergence expected before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature thresholds at the primary Munich station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 37%
23°C 26%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
37%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 37%
23°C 26%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$186 Vol.
9%
23°C
$551 Vol.
26%
24°C
$104 Vol.
37%
25°C
$38 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$35 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$85 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based runs, indicate a high of 22–25°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological August averages near 23°C and reflects stable high-pressure influence following earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 36.5% implied probability followed by 23°C and 25°C, incorporates the narrow spread across official guidance and limited model divergence expected before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature thresholds at the primary Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,015End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based runs, indicate a high of 22–25°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological August averages near 23°C and reflects stable high-pressure influence following earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 36.5% implied probability followed by 23°C and 25°C, incorporates the narrow spread across official guidance and limited model divergence expected before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature thresholds at the primary Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,015End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based runs, indicate a high of 22–25°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological August averages near 23°C and reflects stable high-pressure influence following earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 36.5% implied probability followed by 23°C and 25°C, incorporates the narrow spread across official guidance and limited model divergence expected before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature thresholds at the primary Munich station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions