Current meteorological forecasts for Cape Town on August 24 project a maximum temperature centered on 18–19 °C, driven by strengthening southerly winds and clearing skies after recent mild, mostly cloudy conditions. These values align with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 17–18 °C reflect the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system moderating temperatures along the Cape Peninsula. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
19°C 44%
18°C 31%
20°C 16%
21°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
7%
18°C
31%
19°C
44%
20°C
16%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 31%
20°C 16%
21°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$165 Vol.
31%
19°C
$20 Vol.
44%
20°C
$188 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$20 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Cape Town on August 24 project a maximum temperature centered on 18–19 °C, driven by strengthening southerly winds and clearing skies after recent mild, mostly cloudy conditions. These values align with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 17–18 °C reflect the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system moderating temperatures along the Cape Peninsula. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$403End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Cape Town on August 24 project a maximum temperature centered on 18–19 °C, driven by strengthening southerly winds and clearing skies after recent mild, mostly cloudy conditions. These values align with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 17–18 °C reflect the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system moderating temperatures along the Cape Peninsula. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$403End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Cape Town on August 24 project a maximum temperature centered on 18–19 °C, driven by strengthening southerly winds and clearing skies after recent mild, mostly cloudy conditions. These values align with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 17–18 °C reflect the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system moderating temperatures along the Cape Peninsula. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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