Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on August 24, with light winds, possible showers, and overnight lows around 11°C. This consensus, amid the typical late-summer cooling trend of roughly 0.2–0.3°C per day in southern Finland, drives the market's strong tilt toward 19°C (40.5%) and 18°C (27.5%), while limiting upside to 20°C or above. Traders weigh ensemble model agreement against uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover, which could shave 1°C from the peak; historical August averages near 19–20°C provide baseline context but current short-range guidance dominates positioning ahead of the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
19°C 41%
18°C 28%
20°C 19%
17°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
28%
19°C
41%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 41%
18°C 28%
20°C 19%
17°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$87 Vol.
1%
17°C
$21 Vol.
8%
18°C
$332 Vol.
28%
19°C
$1,356 Vol.
41%
20°C
$213 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$77 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on August 24, with light winds, possible showers, and overnight lows around 11°C. This consensus, amid the typical late-summer cooling trend of roughly 0.2–0.3°C per day in southern Finland, drives the market's strong tilt toward 19°C (40.5%) and 18°C (27.5%), while limiting upside to 20°C or above. Traders weigh ensemble model agreement against uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover, which could shave 1°C from the peak; historical August averages near 19–20°C provide baseline context but current short-range guidance dominates positioning ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,096End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on August 24, with light winds, possible showers, and overnight lows around 11°C. This consensus, amid the typical late-summer cooling trend of roughly 0.2–0.3°C per day in southern Finland, drives the market's strong tilt toward 19°C (40.5%) and 18°C (27.5%), while limiting upside to 20°C or above. Traders weigh ensemble model agreement against uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover, which could shave 1°C from the peak; historical August averages near 19–20°C provide baseline context but current short-range guidance dominates positioning ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,096End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on August 24, with light winds, possible showers, and overnight lows around 11°C. This consensus, amid the typical late-summer cooling trend of roughly 0.2–0.3°C per day in southern Finland, drives the market's strong tilt toward 19°C (40.5%) and 18°C (27.5%), while limiting upside to 20°C or above. Traders weigh ensemble model agreement against uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover, which could shave 1°C from the peak; historical August averages near 19–20°C provide baseline context but current short-range guidance dominates positioning ahead of the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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