Recent cooling following an early-to-mid August heatwave has positioned overnight lows in Paris near 11–13°C for August 23, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Official and extended forecasts from sources like Météo-Paris and AccuWeather indicate partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, promoting radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced daytime heating to around 23°C. This pattern matches late-summer climatology, where typical minima fall to 14–16°C, but current steering flows and post-heatwave advection favor slightly cooler readings. Model consensus points to minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, supporting the 45.5% implied probability on 12°C and 35% on 13°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
12°C 56%
13°C 36%
11°C 20%
16°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
3%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
20%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
12°C 56%
13°C 36%
11°C 20%
16°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
9°C
$20 Vol.
2%
10°C
$20 Vol.
6%
11°C
$20 Vol.
20%
12°C
$41 Vol.
40%
13°C
$94 Vol.
25%
14°C
$20 Vol.
6%
15°C
$20 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
7%
17°C
$5 Vol.
5%
18°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following an early-to-mid August heatwave has positioned overnight lows in Paris near 11–13°C for August 23, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Official and extended forecasts from sources like Météo-Paris and AccuWeather indicate partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, promoting radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced daytime heating to around 23°C. This pattern matches late-summer climatology, where typical minima fall to 14–16°C, but current steering flows and post-heatwave advection favor slightly cooler readings. Model consensus points to minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, supporting the 45.5% implied probability on 12°C and 35% on 13°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$276End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following an early-to-mid August heatwave has positioned overnight lows in Paris near 11–13°C for August 23, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Official and extended forecasts from sources like Météo-Paris and AccuWeather indicate partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, promoting radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced daytime heating to around 23°C. This pattern matches late-summer climatology, where typical minima fall to 14–16°C, but current steering flows and post-heatwave advection favor slightly cooler readings. Model consensus points to minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, supporting the 45.5% implied probability on 12°C and 35% on 13°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$276End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling following an early-to-mid August heatwave has positioned overnight lows in Paris near 11–13°C for August 23, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Official and extended forecasts from sources like Météo-Paris and AccuWeather indicate partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, promoting radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced daytime heating to around 23°C. This pattern matches late-summer climatology, where typical minima fall to 14–16°C, but current steering flows and post-heatwave advection favor slightly cooler readings. Model consensus points to minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, supporting the 45.5% implied probability on 12°C and 35% on 13°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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