Traders see closely matched odds across the 78–83°F bins for Miami’s July 23 minimum temperature because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance consistently projects overnight lows near 80–81°F amid typical subtropical July conditions. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters limit radiative cooling, while moderate easterly winds and high boundary-layer moisture suppress sharp drops. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance cloud cover and further moderate nighttime temperatures, yet any clearer skies or lighter winds could allow brief cooling into the upper 70s. Historical climatology shows Miami July lows rarely deviate far from this narrow range, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on July 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 23?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,930 Vol.
$14,930 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,930 Vol.
$14,930 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
71°F or below
$287 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$337 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$799 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$835 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,119 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$534 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,608 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$1,496 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,716 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$643 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$558 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds across the 78–83°F bins for Miami’s July 23 minimum temperature because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance consistently projects overnight lows near 80–81°F amid typical subtropical July conditions. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters limit radiative cooling, while moderate easterly winds and high boundary-layer moisture suppress sharp drops. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance cloud cover and further moderate nighttime temperatures, yet any clearer skies or lighter winds could allow brief cooling into the upper 70s. Historical climatology shows Miami July lows rarely deviate far from this narrow range, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$14,930End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds across the 78–83°F bins for Miami’s July 23 minimum temperature because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance consistently projects overnight lows near 80–81°F amid typical subtropical July conditions. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters limit radiative cooling, while moderate easterly winds and high boundary-layer moisture suppress sharp drops. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance cloud cover and further moderate nighttime temperatures, yet any clearer skies or lighter winds could allow brief cooling into the upper 70s. Historical climatology shows Miami July lows rarely deviate far from this narrow range, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,930End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see closely matched odds across the 78–83°F bins for Miami’s July 23 minimum temperature because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance consistently projects overnight lows near 80–81°F amid typical subtropical July conditions. Persistent warm Atlantic and Gulf waters limit radiative cooling, while moderate easterly winds and high boundary-layer moisture suppress sharp drops. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance cloud cover and further moderate nighttime temperatures, yet any clearer skies or lighter winds could allow brief cooling into the upper 70s. Historical climatology shows Miami July lows rarely deviate far from this narrow range, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions