The observed minimum temperature of 78–79°F at Miami International Airport on June 14 aligns with National Weather Service climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically range from 76–78°F under prevailing trade-wind patterns and scattered convective activity. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and related guidance indicated no significant frontal passages or anomalous cooling that would push readings below 77°F or above 80°F, producing the market's near-certain consensus on this narrow bin. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than forecasts, as the event has now concluded. Only a rare station reporting discrepancy or uncharacteristic mesoscale cooling could have altered the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,219 Vol.
$17,219 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,219 Vol.
$17,219 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$430 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$684 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$840 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,025 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,840 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,470 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,935 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$6,070 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$956 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$610 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$360 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed minimum temperature of 78–79°F at Miami International Airport on June 14 aligns with National Weather Service climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically range from 76–78°F under prevailing trade-wind patterns and scattered convective activity. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and related guidance indicated no significant frontal passages or anomalous cooling that would push readings below 77°F or above 80°F, producing the market's near-certain consensus on this narrow bin. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than forecasts, as the event has now concluded. Only a rare station reporting discrepancy or uncharacteristic mesoscale cooling could have altered the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$17,219End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed minimum temperature of 78–79°F at Miami International Airport on June 14 aligns with National Weather Service climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically range from 76–78°F under prevailing trade-wind patterns and scattered convective activity. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and related guidance indicated no significant frontal passages or anomalous cooling that would push readings below 77°F or above 80°F, producing the market's near-certain consensus on this narrow bin. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than forecasts, as the event has now concluded. Only a rare station reporting discrepancy or uncharacteristic mesoscale cooling could have altered the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,219End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The observed minimum temperature of 78–79°F at Miami International Airport on June 14 aligns with National Weather Service climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically range from 76–78°F under prevailing trade-wind patterns and scattered convective activity. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and related guidance indicated no significant frontal passages or anomalous cooling that would push readings below 77°F or above 80°F, producing the market's near-certain consensus on this narrow bin. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than forecasts, as the event has now concluded. Only a rare station reporting discrepancy or uncharacteristic mesoscale cooling could have altered the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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