Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirm that Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 78°F early on June 16, 2026, placing it squarely in the 78-79°F bin now trading at full implied probability. This outcome aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows in mid-June commonly settle near 76-79°F under light winds and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. Forecasters noted stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold-air advection or unusual cloud cover to drive temperatures lower. A data revision by the NWS or use of an alternate station reading could theoretically alter the official figure, though such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 16?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$13,867 Vol.
$13,867 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$13,867 Vol.
$13,867 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
69°F or below
$402 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$217 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,372 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,216 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,500 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,916 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$2,280 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,228 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$283 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$276 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$176 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirm that Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 78°F early on June 16, 2026, placing it squarely in the 78-79°F bin now trading at full implied probability. This outcome aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows in mid-June commonly settle near 76-79°F under light winds and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. Forecasters noted stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold-air advection or unusual cloud cover to drive temperatures lower. A data revision by the NWS or use of an alternate station reading could theoretically alter the official figure, though such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$13,867End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirm that Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 78°F early on June 16, 2026, placing it squarely in the 78-79°F bin now trading at full implied probability. This outcome aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows in mid-June commonly settle near 76-79°F under light winds and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. Forecasters noted stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold-air advection or unusual cloud cover to drive temperatures lower. A data revision by the NWS or use of an alternate station reading could theoretically alter the official figure, though such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,867End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirm that Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 78°F early on June 16, 2026, placing it squarely in the 78-79°F bin now trading at full implied probability. This outcome aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows in mid-June commonly settle near 76-79°F under light winds and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. Forecasters noted stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold-air advection or unusual cloud cover to drive temperatures lower. A data revision by the NWS or use of an alternate station reading could theoretically alter the official figure, though such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions