Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 19?
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,884 Vol.
$16,884 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,884 Vol.
$16,884 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
65°F or below
$412 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$952 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,060 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$996 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,130 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$699 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,811 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,827 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,379 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$3,483 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$1,136 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$16,884End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,884End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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