Official observations from Miami International Airport on June 3 recorded a daily minimum temperature of 73°F or lower, establishing the market-implied probability for that outcome at 100%. This reading aligns with early-June subtropical high-pressure dominance and enhanced sea-breeze circulation that typically suppresses overnight lows along the southeast Florida coast. Climatological baselines place average June minima near 76–78°F, so the observed value reflects a modest negative departure consistent with recent model guidance on mid-level ridging. Any post-verification adjustment to the official National Weather Service dataset remains possible in principle but would require documented station anomalies unlikely to shift the resolved threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 3?
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$27,840 Vol.
$27,840 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
73°F or below
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$27,840 Vol.
$27,840 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
73°F or below
$3,831 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$3,644 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,033 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,386 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,613 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$7,440 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,054 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,293 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,100 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$345 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$1,099 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport on June 3 recorded a daily minimum temperature of 73°F or lower, establishing the market-implied probability for that outcome at 100%. This reading aligns with early-June subtropical high-pressure dominance and enhanced sea-breeze circulation that typically suppresses overnight lows along the southeast Florida coast. Climatological baselines place average June minima near 76–78°F, so the observed value reflects a modest negative departure consistent with recent model guidance on mid-level ridging. Any post-verification adjustment to the official National Weather Service dataset remains possible in principle but would require documented station anomalies unlikely to shift the resolved threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$27,840End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport on June 3 recorded a daily minimum temperature of 73°F or lower, establishing the market-implied probability for that outcome at 100%. This reading aligns with early-June subtropical high-pressure dominance and enhanced sea-breeze circulation that typically suppresses overnight lows along the southeast Florida coast. Climatological baselines place average June minima near 76–78°F, so the observed value reflects a modest negative departure consistent with recent model guidance on mid-level ridging. Any post-verification adjustment to the official National Weather Service dataset remains possible in principle but would require documented station anomalies unlikely to shift the resolved threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,840End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official observations from Miami International Airport on June 3 recorded a daily minimum temperature of 73°F or lower, establishing the market-implied probability for that outcome at 100%. This reading aligns with early-June subtropical high-pressure dominance and enhanced sea-breeze circulation that typically suppresses overnight lows along the southeast Florida coast. Climatological baselines place average June minima near 76–78°F, so the observed value reflects a modest negative departure consistent with recent model guidance on mid-level ridging. Any post-verification adjustment to the official National Weather Service dataset remains possible in principle but would require documented station anomalies unlikely to shift the resolved threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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