The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on June 5 due to persistent subtropical high pressure and warm sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf, which limit overnight radiational cooling. Official climatological normals place early-June minimums near 76°F at Miami International Airport, with recent observations from June 4–5 confirming overnight lows of 73–78°F under humid conditions that keep dew points elevated and suppress drops below the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA reinforced this stable pattern without significant frontal passages or drier air intrusions. While an unexpected cold surge could theoretically shift readings lower, such events are climatologically rare in June and would require rapid changes not indicated in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 5?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$20,333 Vol.
$20,333 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$20,333 Vol.
$20,333 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
71°F or below
$2,758 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,954 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,212 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,519 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,064 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$1,068 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$4,662 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$478 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$321 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$672 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$625 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on June 5 due to persistent subtropical high pressure and warm sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf, which limit overnight radiational cooling. Official climatological normals place early-June minimums near 76°F at Miami International Airport, with recent observations from June 4–5 confirming overnight lows of 73–78°F under humid conditions that keep dew points elevated and suppress drops below the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA reinforced this stable pattern without significant frontal passages or drier air intrusions. While an unexpected cold surge could theoretically shift readings lower, such events are climatologically rare in June and would require rapid changes not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$20,333End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on June 5 due to persistent subtropical high pressure and warm sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf, which limit overnight radiational cooling. Official climatological normals place early-June minimums near 76°F at Miami International Airport, with recent observations from June 4–5 confirming overnight lows of 73–78°F under humid conditions that keep dew points elevated and suppress drops below the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA reinforced this stable pattern without significant frontal passages or drier air intrusions. While an unexpected cold surge could theoretically shift readings lower, such events are climatologically rare in June and would require rapid changes not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,333End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on June 5 due to persistent subtropical high pressure and warm sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf, which limit overnight radiational cooling. Official climatological normals place early-June minimums near 76°F at Miami International Airport, with recent observations from June 4–5 confirming overnight lows of 73–78°F under humid conditions that keep dew points elevated and suppress drops below the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA reinforced this stable pattern without significant frontal passages or drier air intrusions. While an unexpected cold surge could theoretically shift readings lower, such events are climatologically rare in June and would require rapid changes not indicated in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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