The market-implied odds reflect the official minimum temperature observation of 78–79°F recorded at Miami International Airport on June 9, 2026, per National Weather Service data. Early June climatology supports this outcome, with typical overnight lows near 76–78°F driven by the subtropical maritime air mass and seasonal solar heating patterns. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed no significant cool-air intrusions or enhanced radiational cooling that would drop readings below this range. While measurement revisions or station-specific microclimate effects remain theoretically possible, the strong consensus aligns with verified station reports and historical baselines for the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 9?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$19,806 Vol.
$19,806 Vol.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$19,806 Vol.
$19,806 Vol.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market-implied odds reflect the official minimum temperature observation of 78–79°F recorded at Miami International Airport on June 9, 2026, per National Weather Service data. Early June climatology supports this outcome, with typical overnight lows near 76–78°F driven by the subtropical maritime air mass and seasonal solar heating patterns. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed no significant cool-air intrusions or enhanced radiational cooling that would drop readings below this range. While measurement revisions or station-specific microclimate effects remain theoretically possible, the strong consensus aligns with verified station reports and historical baselines for the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions