The market consensus reflects official National Weather Service observations confirming Miami’s overnight low on May 24 reached 78-79°F, consistent with typical late-May climatology for the region where subtropical air masses and light winds limit radiative cooling. Recent model guidance from NOAA aligned closely with surface measurements at Miami International Airport, leaving little room for variance. Traders priced other brackets near zero because any dip to 77°F or below would require atypical synoptic cooling or measurement anomalies not supported by station data. Only a revised official report or station-specific discrepancy could shift resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 24?
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$18,301 Vol.
$18,301 Vol.
May 24, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$18,301 Vol.
$18,301 Vol.
May 24, 2026
73°F or below
$2,435 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,939 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$912 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,620 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$718 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$649 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$692 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,016 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,084 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,398 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$838 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus reflects official National Weather Service observations confirming Miami’s overnight low on May 24 reached 78-79°F, consistent with typical late-May climatology for the region where subtropical air masses and light winds limit radiative cooling. Recent model guidance from NOAA aligned closely with surface measurements at Miami International Airport, leaving little room for variance. Traders priced other brackets near zero because any dip to 77°F or below would require atypical synoptic cooling or measurement anomalies not supported by station data. Only a revised official report or station-specific discrepancy could shift resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,301End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus reflects official National Weather Service observations confirming Miami’s overnight low on May 24 reached 78-79°F, consistent with typical late-May climatology for the region where subtropical air masses and light winds limit radiative cooling. Recent model guidance from NOAA aligned closely with surface measurements at Miami International Airport, leaving little room for variance. Traders priced other brackets near zero because any dip to 77°F or below would require atypical synoptic cooling or measurement anomalies not supported by station data. Only a revised official report or station-specific discrepancy could shift resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,301End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market consensus reflects official National Weather Service observations confirming Miami’s overnight low on May 24 reached 78-79°F, consistent with typical late-May climatology for the region where subtropical air masses and light winds limit radiative cooling. Recent model guidance from NOAA aligned closely with surface measurements at Miami International Airport, leaving little room for variance. Traders priced other brackets near zero because any dip to 77°F or below would require atypical synoptic cooling or measurement anomalies not supported by station data. Only a revised official report or station-specific discrepancy could shift resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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