Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm the overnight minimum temperature on May 31 fell in the 76-77°F range, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent warm, humid air under light steering flow and scattered showers prevented significant radiational cooling, consistent with late-May climatology where typical lows hover near 75°F. This data-driven resolution leaves minimal room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at the reporting station, a rare occurrence for standard surface observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on May 31?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 31?
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$18,223 Vol.
$18,223 Vol.
May 31, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$18,223 Vol.
$18,223 Vol.
May 31, 2026
73°F or below
$1,781 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,287 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$3,521 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$2,681 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,798 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,058 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$647 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$647 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$358 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$882 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$563 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm the overnight minimum temperature on May 31 fell in the 76-77°F range, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent warm, humid air under light steering flow and scattered showers prevented significant radiational cooling, consistent with late-May climatology where typical lows hover near 75°F. This data-driven resolution leaves minimal room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at the reporting station, a rare occurrence for standard surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$18,223End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm the overnight minimum temperature on May 31 fell in the 76-77°F range, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent warm, humid air under light steering flow and scattered showers prevented significant radiational cooling, consistent with late-May climatology where typical lows hover near 75°F. This data-driven resolution leaves minimal room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at the reporting station, a rare occurrence for standard surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,223End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm the overnight minimum temperature on May 31 fell in the 76-77°F range, aligning with pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent warm, humid air under light steering flow and scattered showers prevented significant radiational cooling, consistent with late-May climatology where typical lows hover near 75°F. This data-driven resolution leaves minimal room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at the reporting station, a rare occurrence for standard surface observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions