The market's overwhelming consensus on a 70-71°F minimum for New York City on June 10 reflects National Weather Service observations confirming that exact range as the official daily low, consistent with recent warm, stable conditions under high pressure and light southerly flow. Seasonal averages for early June place typical overnight lows near 67°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations, yet persistent above-normal temperatures and minimal radiative cooling kept readings elevated without any notable cold front or increased cloud cover to drive further drops. Resolution hinges on the final verified climatological report, with only an improbable post-publication data revision able to shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 10?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$38,042 Vol.
$38,042 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$38,042 Vol.
$38,042 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's overwhelming consensus on a 70-71°F minimum for New York City on June 10 reflects National Weather Service observations confirming that exact range as the official daily low, consistent with recent warm, stable conditions under high pressure and light southerly flow. Seasonal averages for early June place typical overnight lows near 67°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations, yet persistent above-normal temperatures and minimal radiative cooling kept readings elevated without any notable cold front or increased cloud cover to drive further drops. Resolution hinges on the final verified climatological report, with only an improbable post-publication data revision able to shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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