Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,154 Vol.
$37,154 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,154 Vol.
$37,154 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
17°C or below
$2,113 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,337 Vol.
No
19°C
$804 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,587 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,216 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,551 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,152 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$4,085 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,156 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,981 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$3,173 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37,154End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,154End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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