Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,987 Vol.
$33,987 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,987 Vol.
$33,987 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
12°C or below
$481 Vol.
No
13°C
$885 Vol.
No
14°C
$744 Vol.
No
15°C
$757 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,602 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,343 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,105 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$2,619 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,001 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,185 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$3,264 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$33,987End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,987End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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