Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 13?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
15°C or below
$1,493 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,682 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,582 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,000 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,761 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,177 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$7,468 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,898 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,385 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,112 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$1,404 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$34,962End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,962End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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