Current forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 20 amid the East Asian summer monsoon and Meiyu rain pattern, which brings extensive cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent overcast conditions since mid-June have narrowed diurnal temperature ranges, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Clearer breaks could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 22°C or below, while stronger precipitation or urban heat retention may hold readings at 25°C or higher. Model consensus from sources like NOAA and local agencies shows modest uncertainty in timing and intensity through the weekend, driving trader focus on the latest guidance updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 20?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$33,788 Vol.
$33,788 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$33,788 Vol.
$33,788 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 20 amid the East Asian summer monsoon and Meiyu rain pattern, which brings extensive cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent overcast conditions since mid-June have narrowed diurnal temperature ranges, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Clearer breaks could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 22°C or below, while stronger precipitation or urban heat retention may hold readings at 25°C or higher. Model consensus from sources like NOAA and local agencies shows modest uncertainty in timing and intensity through the weekend, driving trader focus on the latest guidance updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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