**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C. Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,244 Vol.
$38,244 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,244 Vol.
$38,244 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
19°C or below
$1,332 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,111 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,094 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,425 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,747 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,815 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$8,719 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,123 Vol.
No
27°C
$839 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,285 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$753 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C.
Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$38,244End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C.
Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,244End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C. Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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