Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,658 Vol.
$32,658 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,658 Vol.
$32,658 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
18°C or below
$1,212 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,308 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,643 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,695 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,393 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$2,301 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,742 Vol.
No
25°C
$426 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,406 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,367 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$165 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$32,658End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,658End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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