Recent observational data and forecast models from Japan's Meteorological Agency confirm stable high-pressure conditions over Tokyo, producing a minimum temperature of 19°C on June 9 that aligns with early-June climatology. This convergence of real-time surface measurements, upper-air soundings, and ensemble guidance underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Resolution hinges on official station verification rather than model output alone, leaving little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments or sensor anomalies emerge—scenarios that remain statistically remote given the tight agreement across authoritative sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 9?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 9?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,082 Vol.
$32,082 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,082 Vol.
$32,082 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
15°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
No
16°C
$844 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,968 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,151 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,512 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$7,734 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,740 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,860 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,112 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,640 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$1,411 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from Japan's Meteorological Agency confirm stable high-pressure conditions over Tokyo, producing a minimum temperature of 19°C on June 9 that aligns with early-June climatology. This convergence of real-time surface measurements, upper-air soundings, and ensemble guidance underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Resolution hinges on official station verification rather than model output alone, leaving little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments or sensor anomalies emerge—scenarios that remain statistically remote given the tight agreement across authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$32,082End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from Japan's Meteorological Agency confirm stable high-pressure conditions over Tokyo, producing a minimum temperature of 19°C on June 9 that aligns with early-June climatology. This convergence of real-time surface measurements, upper-air soundings, and ensemble guidance underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Resolution hinges on official station verification rather than model output alone, leaving little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments or sensor anomalies emerge—scenarios that remain statistically remote given the tight agreement across authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,082End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data and forecast models from Japan's Meteorological Agency confirm stable high-pressure conditions over Tokyo, producing a minimum temperature of 19°C on June 9 that aligns with early-June climatology. This convergence of real-time surface measurements, upper-air soundings, and ensemble guidance underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Resolution hinges on official station verification rather than model output alone, leaving little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments or sensor anomalies emerge—scenarios that remain statistically remote given the tight agreement across authoritative sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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