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icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS

icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS

NEW
Oct 5, 2026
Polymarket

$20 Vol.

Polymarket

New York Yankees

$0 Vol.

54%

Boston Red Sox

$0 Vol.

53%

Tampa Bay Rays

$0 Vol.

52%

Chicago White Sox

$0 Vol.

52%

Cleveland Guardians

$0 Vol.

52%

Houston Astros

$0 Vol.

51%

Texas Rangers

$0 Vol.

20%

Los Angeles Angels

$10 Vol.

19%

Athletics

$10 Vol.

19%

Baltimore Orioles

$0 Vol.

15%

Toronto Blue Jays

$0 Vol.

15%

Minnesota Twins

$0 Vol.

15%

Seattle Mariners

$0 Vol.

15%

Detroit Tigers

$0 Vol.

10%

Kansas City Royals

$0 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox, and Houston Astros currently lead their respective AL divisions and sit in strong position to secure byes into the ALDS, while the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox, and Cleveland Guardians occupy the top wild-card spots. With roughly four weeks remaining, the Rays hold a 4.5-game edge in the AL East over the injury-plagued Yankees, the White Sox maintain a three-game cushion in the Central, and the Astros lead the West by one game over the Rangers. The final wild-card berth remains tight, with the Guardians ahead of the Rangers and Orioles by 1.5 games. Upcoming series among contenders, including Rays-Yankees and White Sox-Guardians matchups, plus September call-up impacts and remaining head-to-head games, will shape which teams advance through the wild-card round to the ALDS.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox, and Houston Astros currently lead their respective AL divisions and sit in strong position to secure byes into the ALDS, while the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox, and Cleveland Guardians occupy the top wild-card spots. With roughly four weeks remaining, the Rays hold a 4.5-game edge in the AL East over the injury-plagued Yankees, the White Sox maintain a three-game cushion in the Central, and the Astros lead the West by one game over the Rangers. The final wild-card berth remains tight, with the Guardians ahead of the Rangers and Orioles by 1.5 games. Upcoming series among contenders, including Rays-Yankees and White Sox-Guardians matchups, plus September call-up impacts and remaining head-to-head games, will shape which teams advance through the wild-card round to the ALDS.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 54%, followed by "Boston Red Sox" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" is "New York Yankees" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Boston Red Sox" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALDS" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.