The Elite Eight field in the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament is set following a dramatic Sweet 16 over the past 48 hours, featuring top seeds No. 1 Duke, Michigan, and Arizona alongside No. 2 UConn, No. 2 Purdue, No. 3 Illinois, Cinderella No. 9 Iowa, and No. 6 Tennessee. Key recent results include Duke's narrow 80-75 escape over St. John's, Michigan's 90-77 rout of Alabama, Arizona's 109-88 demolition of Arkansas, Purdue's 79-77 thriller against Texas, and Tennessee's 76-62 upset of No. 2 Iowa State. Traders weigh momentum from these advances, Big Ten rivalries in Illinois-Iowa and Arizona-Purdue (Saturday Elite Eight games), plus Sunday's Michigan-Tennessee and UConn-Duke clashes on neutral sites, with no major injury reports altering rosters. Historical Final Four paths favor high seeds, but upsets like Iowa's run highlight upset potential in March Madness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNCAA Tournament: Team to make Quarterfinals
NCAA Tournament: Team to make Quarterfinals
$39,273 Vol.
Siena
No
Furman
No
Kansas
No
Purdue
Yes
Tennessee
Yes
North Carolina
No
VCU
No
Akron
No
Hofstra
No
Sam Houston
No
Howard
No
Duke
Yes
Arizona
Yes
Michigan State
No
UConn
Yes
Houston
No
Iowa State
No
Alabama
No
Arkansas
No
Kentucky
No
Villanova
No
UCLA
No
Saint Louis
No
Saint Mary’s
No
Utah State
No
TCU
No
NC State
No
Miami (Ohio)
No
Santa Clara
No
South Florida
No
Oklahoma
No
McNeese
No
Utah Valley
No
North Dakota State
No
LIU
No
Southern
No
Michigan
Yes
Florida
No
Illinois
Yes
Nebraska
No
Virginia
No
Gonzaga
No
Texas Tech
No
St. John’s
No
Vanderbilt
No
Clemson
No
BYU
No
Iowa
Yes
Ohio State
No
Georgia
No
UCF
No
Texas A&M
No
Texas
No
Missouri
No
High Point
No
Wright State
No
UC Irvine
No
Queens
No
Lehigh
No
UMBC
No
Louisville
No
Miami (FL)
No
Wisconsin
No
Northern Iowa
No
Yale
No
Troy
No
Idaho
No
Tennessee State
No
Cal Baptist
No
Prairie View A&M
No
Hawaii
No
SMU
No
Penn
No
Kennesaw State
No
$39,273 Vol.
Siena
No
Furman
No
Kansas
No
Purdue
Yes
Tennessee
Yes
North Carolina
No
VCU
No
Akron
No
Hofstra
No
Sam Houston
No
Howard
No
Duke
Yes
Arizona
Yes
Michigan State
No
UConn
Yes
Houston
No
Iowa State
No
Alabama
No
Arkansas
No
Kentucky
No
Villanova
No
UCLA
No
Saint Louis
No
Saint Mary’s
No
Utah State
No
TCU
No
NC State
No
Miami (Ohio)
No
Santa Clara
No
South Florida
No
Oklahoma
No
McNeese
No
Utah Valley
No
North Dakota State
No
LIU
No
Southern
No
Michigan
Yes
Florida
No
Illinois
Yes
Nebraska
No
Virginia
No
Gonzaga
No
Texas Tech
No
St. John’s
No
Vanderbilt
No
Clemson
No
BYU
No
Iowa
Yes
Ohio State
No
Georgia
No
UCF
No
Texas A&M
No
Texas
No
Missouri
No
High Point
No
Wright State
No
UC Irvine
No
Queens
No
Lehigh
No
UMBC
No
Louisville
No
Miami (FL)
No
Wisconsin
No
Northern Iowa
No
Yale
No
Troy
No
Idaho
No
Tennessee State
No
Cal Baptist
No
Prairie View A&M
No
Hawaii
No
SMU
No
Penn
No
Kennesaw State
No
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The Elite Eight field in the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament is set following a dramatic Sweet 16 over the past 48 hours, featuring top seeds No. 1 Duke, Michigan, and Arizona alongside No. 2 UConn, No. 2 Purdue, No. 3 Illinois, Cinderella No. 9 Iowa, and No. 6 Tennessee. Key recent results include Duke's narrow 80-75 escape over St. John's, Michigan's 90-77 rout of Alabama, Arizona's 109-88 demolition of Arkansas, Purdue's 79-77 thriller against Texas, and Tennessee's 76-62 upset of No. 2 Iowa State. Traders weigh momentum from these advances, Big Ten rivalries in Illinois-Iowa and Arizona-Purdue (Saturday Elite Eight games), plus Sunday's Michigan-Tennessee and UConn-Duke clashes on neutral sites, with no major injury reports altering rosters. Historical Final Four paths favor high seeds, but upsets like Iowa's run highlight upset potential in March Madness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions