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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 36.4%

Jack Lowden 20.2%

Jack Barton 11.9%

Callum Turner 7.9%

Polymarket

$832,978 Vol.

No Bond chosen 36.4%

Jack Lowden 20.2%

Jack Barton 11.9%

Callum Turner 7.9%

Polymarket

$832,978 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$380,039 Vol.

36%

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$149,411 Vol.

20%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$37,604 Vol.

12%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$63,297 Vol.

8%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$12,461 Vol.

2%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$8,673 Vol.

2%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$17,400 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$10,096 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$9,817 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$12,895 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$20,492 Vol.

1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$7,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$7,405 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$12,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$26,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$6,453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$6,671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$9,632 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$3,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$6,648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$7,395 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$6,777 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$4,249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$4,993 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market-implied odds reflect an ongoing, secretive casting process for the next James Bond under Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, with no official announcement as of mid-September 2026 pushing “No Bond chosen” to the top at 36.4%. Trader consensus favors Jack Lowden at 20.2% after recent endorsements from co-star Gary Oldman and podcaster Richard Osman highlighted his shortlist status, aligning with the preference for a younger British actor who can anchor multiple films. Jack Barton’s 11.9% shows earlier momentum from insider reports of callbacks but has cooled amid broader shortlist chatter including Callum Turner, Harris Dickinson, and Jacob Elordi. Pierce Brosnan’s September comments that producers might select an unknown further supports uncertainty around established names, while historical patterns of delayed reveals keep probabilities fluid until a firm decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$832,978
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market-implied odds reflect an ongoing, secretive casting process for the next James Bond under Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, with no official announcement as of mid-September 2026 pushing “No Bond chosen” to the top at 36.4%. Trader consensus favors Jack Lowden at 20.2% after recent endorsements from co-star Gary Oldman and podcaster Richard Osman highlighted his shortlist status, aligning with the preference for a younger British actor who can anchor multiple films. Jack Barton’s 11.9% shows earlier momentum from insider reports of callbacks but has cooled amid broader shortlist chatter including Callum Turner, Harris Dickinson, and Jacob Elordi. Pierce Brosnan’s September comments that producers might select an unknown further supports uncertainty around established names, while historical patterns of delayed reveals keep probabilities fluid until a firm decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$832,978
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 36%, followed by "Jack Lowden" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $833K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.