Trader consensus prices Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey at full implied probability for the 2026 NFL Draft's 2nd overall pick after the New York Jets officially selected him early in Round 1 on April 23, addressing a critical pass-rush deficiency following a dismal 2025 campaign that earned them the slot behind the Raiders. Bailey's elite college production—highlighted by 16 sacks and top pass-rush grades in his lone Red Raiders season—plus explosive combine measurables, positioned him as the premier edge prospect, edging out Ohio State's Arvell Reese per pre-pick reports from insiders like Ian Rapoport. With the selection confirmed via league announcement, no realistic scenarios remain to challenge this outcome barring unprecedented reversals like trades or disqualifications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick
2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick
David Bailey 100.0%
Fernando Mendoza <1%
Dante Moore <1%
Nico Iamaleava <1%
$1,187,422 Vol.
$1,187,422 Vol.
Fernando Mendoza
No
Dante Moore
No
Nico Iamaleava
No
Drew Allar
No
Carson Beck
No
Garrett Nussmeier
No
Ty Simpson
No
Francis Mauigoa
No
Kadyn Proctor
No
Trevor Goosby
No
Reuben Bain Jr.
No
Peter Woods
No
LT Overton
No
Keldric Faulk
No
T.J. Parker
No
Kayden McDonald
No
Sonny Styles
No
Arvell Reese
No
Caleb Downs
No
Carnell Tate
No
Jordyn Tyson
No
Jeremiyah Love
No
David Bailey
Yes
David Bailey 100.0%
Fernando Mendoza <1%
Dante Moore <1%
Nico Iamaleava <1%
$1,187,422 Vol.
$1,187,422 Vol.
Fernando Mendoza
No
Dante Moore
No
Nico Iamaleava
No
Drew Allar
No
Carson Beck
No
Garrett Nussmeier
No
Ty Simpson
No
Francis Mauigoa
No
Kadyn Proctor
No
Trevor Goosby
No
Reuben Bain Jr.
No
Peter Woods
No
LT Overton
No
Keldric Faulk
No
T.J. Parker
No
Kayden McDonald
No
Sonny Styles
No
Arvell Reese
No
Caleb Downs
No
Carnell Tate
No
Jordyn Tyson
No
Jeremiyah Love
No
David Bailey
Yes
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus prices Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey at full implied probability for the 2026 NFL Draft's 2nd overall pick after the New York Jets officially selected him early in Round 1 on April 23, addressing a critical pass-rush deficiency following a dismal 2025 campaign that earned them the slot behind the Raiders. Bailey's elite college production—highlighted by 16 sacks and top pass-rush grades in his lone Red Raiders season—plus explosive combine measurables, positioned him as the premier edge prospect, edging out Ohio State's Arvell Reese per pre-pick reports from insiders like Ian Rapoport. With the selection confirmed via league announcement, no realistic scenarios remain to challenge this outcome barring unprecedented reversals like trades or disqualifications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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