Trader consensus heavily favors Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman Zach Werenski at 67.5% implied probability to win the 2026 James Norris Memorial Trophy, driven by his elite two-way dominance—second among defensemen in points (81), league-leading shots on goal (240+), top ice time (26:26 average), and anchoring a non-playoff Blue Jackets squad amid their late collapse. Recent NHL.com Trophy Tracker updates confirm Werenski overtaking defending contender Cale Makar as the top pick just days ago, bolstered by signature performances like a 33:26 TOI outing with a goal, assist, shootout winner, and four blocks. Edmonton Oilers' Evan Bouchard leads blueliners with 92 points but trails due to playing behind a powerhouse lineup, while Makar (third at 9.6%) and Buffalo Sabres' Rasmus Dahlin (6.9%) lag in overall impact metrics as the regular season wraps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZach Werenski 73.0%
Evan Bouchard 21.3%
Cale Makar 9.3%
Rasmus Dahlin 6.9%
$245,987 Vol.
$245,987 Vol.
Zach Werenski
68%
Evan Bouchard
21%
Cale Makar
9%
Rasmus Dahlin
7%
Lane Hutson
3%
Quinn Hughes
2%
Victor Hedman
2%
Miro Heiskanen
2%
Moritz Seider
1%
Jaccob Slavin
1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Ryker Evans
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Darnell Nurse
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Thomas Harley
<1%
Devon Toews
<1%
Colton Parayko
<1%
Drew Doughty
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Jake Sanderson
<1%
Charlie McAvoy
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Adam Larsson
<1%
Simon Edvinsson
<1%
Vince Dunn
<1%
Morgan Rielly
<1%
Neal Pionk
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Dougie Hamilton
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Brady Skjei
<1%
Sean Durzi
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Travis Sanheim
<1%
Jackson LaCombe
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Cam Fowler
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
Owen Power
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Philip Broberg
<1%
Aaron Ekblad
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
MacKenzie Weegar
<1%
Alex Vlasic
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Luke Hughes
<1%
Noah Dobson
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Filip Hronek
<1%
Seth Jones
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
Zach Werenski 73.0%
Evan Bouchard 21.3%
Cale Makar 9.3%
Rasmus Dahlin 6.9%
$245,987 Vol.
$245,987 Vol.
Zach Werenski
68%
Evan Bouchard
21%
Cale Makar
9%
Rasmus Dahlin
7%
Lane Hutson
3%
Quinn Hughes
2%
Victor Hedman
2%
Miro Heiskanen
2%
Moritz Seider
1%
Jaccob Slavin
1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Ryker Evans
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Darnell Nurse
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Thomas Harley
<1%
Devon Toews
<1%
Colton Parayko
<1%
Drew Doughty
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Jake Sanderson
<1%
Charlie McAvoy
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Adam Larsson
<1%
Simon Edvinsson
<1%
Vince Dunn
<1%
Morgan Rielly
<1%
Neal Pionk
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Dougie Hamilton
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Brady Skjei
<1%
Sean Durzi
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Travis Sanheim
<1%
Jackson LaCombe
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Cam Fowler
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
Owen Power
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Philip Broberg
<1%
Aaron Ekblad
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
MacKenzie Weegar
<1%
Alex Vlasic
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Luke Hughes
<1%
Noah Dobson
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Filip Hronek
<1%
Seth Jones
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman Zach Werenski at 67.5% implied probability to win the 2026 James Norris Memorial Trophy, driven by his elite two-way dominance—second among defensemen in points (81), league-leading shots on goal (240+), top ice time (26:26 average), and anchoring a non-playoff Blue Jackets squad amid their late collapse. Recent NHL.com Trophy Tracker updates confirm Werenski overtaking defending contender Cale Makar as the top pick just days ago, bolstered by signature performances like a 33:26 TOI outing with a goal, assist, shootout winner, and four blocks. Edmonton Oilers' Evan Bouchard leads blueliners with 92 points but trails due to playing behind a powerhouse lineup, while Makar (third at 9.6%) and Buffalo Sabres' Rasmus Dahlin (6.9%) lag in overall impact metrics as the regular season wraps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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