Severe weather disruptions across the Northeast and Midwest have propelled the "Yes" odds to 98.9% for over 240 US flight cancellations on March 24, with FlightAware data already confirming more than 500 cancellations by evening—far exceeding the threshold amid winter storm warnings, high winds, and low visibility grounding major carriers like Delta and United. Trader consensus reflects real-time tracking from aviation authorities, mirroring past storm-driven spikes like January's FAA outage aftermath. Realistic upsets remain slim: a drastic last-minute recovery surge or data recount error could dip totals below 241, but airline schedules rarely rebound so dramatically post-peak chaos, locking in near-certainty for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedOver 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
Over 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
$913 Vol.
$913 Vol.
$913 Vol.
$913 Vol.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Severe weather disruptions across the Northeast and Midwest have propelled the "Yes" odds to 98.9% for over 240 US flight cancellations on March 24, with FlightAware data already confirming more than 500 cancellations by evening—far exceeding the threshold amid winter storm warnings, high winds, and low visibility grounding major carriers like Delta and United. Trader consensus reflects real-time tracking from aviation authorities, mirroring past storm-driven spikes like January's FAA outage aftermath. Realistic upsets remain slim: a drastic last-minute recovery surge or data recount error could dip totals below 241, but airline schedules rarely rebound so dramatically post-peak chaos, locking in near-certainty for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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