The demanding par-3 setup at Aronimink Golf Club drives the near-certain trader consensus against a hole in one at the 2026 PGA Championship. Most of these holes stretch well beyond 200 yards with firm, sloped greens and tight pin placements that reward precise iron play rather than aggressive attacks, sharply limiting ace opportunities across the four rounds. Recent hole locations have emphasized fair but challenging conditions with wind considerations and deceleration zones that further reduce variance on those shots. While past PGA Championships have occasionally produced aces, the specific yardages and green complexes here align with the market's view of minimal probability. An exceptional strike on one of the shorter par threes or unusually favorable conditions could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,607 Vol.
$1,607 Vol.
May 18, 2026
$1,607 Vol.
$1,607 Vol.
May 18, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).The demanding par-3 setup at Aronimink Golf Club drives the near-certain trader consensus against a hole in one at the 2026 PGA Championship. Most of these holes stretch well beyond 200 yards with firm, sloped greens and tight pin placements that reward precise iron play rather than aggressive attacks, sharply limiting ace opportunities across the four rounds. Recent hole locations have emphasized fair but challenging conditions with wind considerations and deceleration zones that further reduce variance on those shots. While past PGA Championships have occasionally produced aces, the specific yardages and green complexes here align with the market's view of minimal probability. An exceptional strike on one of the shorter par threes or unusually favorable conditions could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,607End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).The demanding par-3 setup at Aronimink Golf Club drives the near-certain trader consensus against a hole in one at the 2026 PGA Championship. Most of these holes stretch well beyond 200 yards with firm, sloped greens and tight pin placements that reward precise iron play rather than aggressive attacks, sharply limiting ace opportunities across the four rounds. Recent hole locations have emphasized fair but challenging conditions with wind considerations and deceleration zones that further reduce variance on those shots. While past PGA Championships have occasionally produced aces, the specific yardages and green complexes here align with the market's view of minimal probability. An exceptional strike on one of the shorter par threes or unusually favorable conditions could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Volume
$1,607End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The demanding par-3 setup at Aronimink Golf Club drives the near-certain trader consensus against a hole in one at the 2026 PGA Championship. Most of these holes stretch well beyond 200 yards with firm, sloped greens and tight pin placements that reward precise iron play rather than aggressive attacks, sharply limiting ace opportunities across the four rounds. Recent hole locations have emphasized fair but challenging conditions with wind considerations and deceleration zones that further reduce variance on those shots. While past PGA Championships have occasionally produced aces, the specific yardages and green complexes here align with the market's view of minimal probability. An exceptional strike on one of the shorter par threes or unusually favorable conditions could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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