Trader consensus on Polymarket has positioned <40mm total April precipitation in Seoul as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of minimal accumulated rainfall through mid-April—far below the historical monthly average of 65–80mm. An exceptionally dry start, with only light spring showers around April 4–6 totaling under 20mm amid persistent high-pressure systems, has suppressed totals, compounded by recent cold snaps and low humidity favoring clear skies. KMA short-range forecasts show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though model ensembles note uncertainty from potential late-month fronts that could add 10–20mm. Upcoming daily KMA updates will refine end-of-month projections against climatological norms of 8 rainy days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 37%
65-70mm 14%
75mm+ 10%
55-60mm 8%
$16,565 Vol.
$16,565 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
37%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
2%
50-55mm
8%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
14%
70-75mm
1%
75mm+
10%
<40mm 37%
65-70mm 14%
75mm+ 10%
55-60mm 8%
$16,565 Vol.
$16,565 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
$10,572 Vol.
37%
40-45mm
$250 Vol.
12%
45-50mm
$234 Vol.
2%
50-55mm
$1,684 Vol.
8%
55-60mm
$2,352 Vol.
8%
60-65mm
$182 Vol.
5%
65-70mm
$393 Vol.
14%
70-75mm
$211 Vol.
1%
75mm+
$688 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has positioned <40mm total April precipitation in Seoul as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of minimal accumulated rainfall through mid-April—far below the historical monthly average of 65–80mm. An exceptionally dry start, with only light spring showers around April 4–6 totaling under 20mm amid persistent high-pressure systems, has suppressed totals, compounded by recent cold snaps and low humidity favoring clear skies. KMA short-range forecasts show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though model ensembles note uncertainty from potential late-month fronts that could add 10–20mm. Upcoming daily KMA updates will refine end-of-month projections against climatological norms of 8 rainy days.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$16,565End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has positioned <40mm total April precipitation in Seoul as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of minimal accumulated rainfall through mid-April—far below the historical monthly average of 65–80mm. An exceptionally dry start, with only light spring showers around April 4–6 totaling under 20mm amid persistent high-pressure systems, has suppressed totals, compounded by recent cold snaps and low humidity favoring clear skies. KMA short-range forecasts show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though model ensembles note uncertainty from potential late-month fronts that could add 10–20mm. Upcoming daily KMA updates will refine end-of-month projections against climatological norms of 8 rainy days.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,565End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has positioned <40mm total April precipitation in Seoul as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of minimal accumulated rainfall through mid-April—far below the historical monthly average of 65–80mm. An exceptionally dry start, with only light spring showers around April 4–6 totaling under 20mm amid persistent high-pressure systems, has suppressed totals, compounded by recent cold snaps and low humidity favoring clear skies. KMA short-range forecasts show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though model ensembles note uncertainty from potential late-month fronts that could add 10–20mm. Upcoming daily KMA updates will refine end-of-month projections against climatological norms of 8 rainy days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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