Ja'Marr Chase's public declaration targeting Randy Moss's 23-touchdown benchmark, paired with his 17-TD 2024 campaign, anchors trader attention around elite volume receivers entering the 17-game 2026 season. Davante Adams paced the league with 14 scores in 2025 while others such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Puka Nacua posted double-digit totals, yet consensus projections cluster top wideouts at 9–11 touchdowns amid typical regression, shared targets, and defensive attention. The 50% implied probability reflects both the statistical outlier required—only Moss and Jerry Rice have reached 20-plus—and realistic paths for an outlier year driven by sustained quarterback health, red-zone usage spikes, or scheme emphasis on a single focal point. Late training-camp injury updates, offensive-line stability, or unexpected target consolidation could quickly shift sentiment either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ja'Marr Chase's public declaration targeting Randy Moss's 23-touchdown benchmark, paired with his 17-TD 2024 campaign, anchors trader attention around elite volume receivers entering the 17-game 2026 season. Davante Adams paced the league with 14 scores in 2025 while others such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Puka Nacua posted double-digit totals, yet consensus projections cluster top wideouts at 9–11 touchdowns amid typical regression, shared targets, and defensive attention. The 50% implied probability reflects both the statistical outlier required—only Moss and Jerry Rice have reached 20-plus—and realistic paths for an outlier year driven by sustained quarterback health, red-zone usage spikes, or scheme emphasis on a single focal point. Late training-camp injury updates, offensive-line stability, or unexpected target consolidation could quickly shift sentiment either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ja'Marr Chase's public declaration targeting Randy Moss's 23-touchdown benchmark, paired with his 17-TD 2024 campaign, anchors trader attention around elite volume receivers entering the 17-game 2026 season. Davante Adams paced the league with 14 scores in 2025 while others such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Puka Nacua posted double-digit totals, yet consensus projections cluster top wideouts at 9–11 touchdowns amid typical regression, shared targets, and defensive attention. The 50% implied probability reflects both the statistical outlier required—only Moss and Jerry Rice have reached 20-plus—and realistic paths for an outlier year driven by sustained quarterback health, red-zone usage spikes, or scheme emphasis on a single focal point. Late training-camp injury updates, offensive-line stability, or unexpected target consolidation could quickly shift sentiment either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ja'Marr Chase's public declaration targeting Randy Moss's 23-touchdown benchmark, paired with his 17-TD 2024 campaign, anchors trader attention around elite volume receivers entering the 17-game 2026 season. Davante Adams paced the league with 14 scores in 2025 while others such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Puka Nacua posted double-digit totals, yet consensus projections cluster top wideouts at 9–11 touchdowns amid typical regression, shared targets, and defensive attention. The 50% implied probability reflects both the statistical outlier required—only Moss and Jerry Rice have reached 20-plus—and realistic paths for an outlier year driven by sustained quarterback health, red-zone usage spikes, or scheme emphasis on a single focal point. Late training-camp injury updates, offensive-line stability, or unexpected target consolidation could quickly shift sentiment either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions