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Politics·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Nancy Lacore 72%

Mac Deford 13%

Francina Dantzler 5%

Ben Frasier 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Nancy Lacore 72%

Mac Deford 13%

Francina Dantzler 5%

Ben Frasier 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Nancy Lacore

$195 Vol.

72%

Mac Deford

$352 Vol.

13%

Francina Dantzler

$508 Vol.

5%

Ben Frasier

$477 Vol.

5%

Mayra Rivera-Vazquez

$432 Vol.

4%

Max Diaz

$350 Vol.

2%

Matt Fulmer

$1,246 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore leads trader consensus in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to her commanding fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised and $578,000 cash on hand as of early May. The former Navy vice admiral benefits from name recognition and institutional support in a crowded field ahead of the June 9 primary. Mac Deford, a 2024 repeat candidate and former Hilton Head general counsel, trails with roughly one-quarter of Lacore’s resources and remains the clearest alternative. Recent candidate debates have centered on redistricting efforts that ultimately stalled in the state Senate, preserving current district lines and the June timeline. Other entrants, including Francina Dantzler, Ben Frasier, and Mayra Rivera-Vazquez, show minimal financial traction. The open seat created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid adds interest, yet Lacore’s resource advantage continues to shape implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,560
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore leads trader consensus in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to her commanding fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised and $578,000 cash on hand as of early May. The former Navy vice admiral benefits from name recognition and institutional support in a crowded field ahead of the June 9 primary. Mac Deford, a 2024 repeat candidate and former Hilton Head general counsel, trails with roughly one-quarter of Lacore’s resources and remains the clearest alternative. Recent candidate debates have centered on redistricting efforts that ultimately stalled in the state Senate, preserving current district lines and the June timeline. Other entrants, including Francina Dantzler, Ben Frasier, and Mayra Rivera-Vazquez, show minimal financial traction. The open seat created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid adds interest, yet Lacore’s resource advantage continues to shape implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,560
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nancy Lacore" at 72%, followed by "Mac Deford" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nancy Lacore" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mac Deford" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.