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icon for TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·New York Primary

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·New York Primary

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Justin Pearson 99.4%

London Lamar <1%

DeVante Hill <1%

Steve Cohen <1%

Polymarket

$24,811 Vol.

Justin Pearson 99.4%

London Lamar <1%

DeVante Hill <1%

Steve Cohen <1%

Polymarket

$24,811 Vol.

icon for Justin Pearson

Justin Pearson

$10,603 Vol.

99%

icon for London Lamar

London Lamar

$3,984 Vol.

1%

icon for DeVante Hill

DeVante Hill

$1,544 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Cohen

Steve Cohen

$8,680 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Justin Pearson maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million, high name recognition from his state legislative record, and endorsements from progressive groups following longtime incumbent Steve Cohen's withdrawal and endorsement of London Lamar. The open-seat contest in the heavily Democratic Memphis-area district has drawn limited competition, with Lamar, DeVante Hill, and others trailing sharply in resources and visibility. This positioning aligns with the district's partisan lean and the absence of major recent disruptions ahead of the August 6 primary. A late surge by Lamar or unusually low turnout among Pearson's base could still shift the outcome before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,811
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Justin Pearson maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million, high name recognition from his state legislative record, and endorsements from progressive groups following longtime incumbent Steve Cohen's withdrawal and endorsement of London Lamar. The open-seat contest in the heavily Democratic Memphis-area district has drawn limited competition, with Lamar, DeVante Hill, and others trailing sharply in resources and visibility. This positioning aligns with the district's partisan lean and the absence of major recent disruptions ahead of the August 6 primary. A late surge by Lamar or unusually low turnout among Pearson's base could still shift the outcome before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,811
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Pearson" at 99%, followed by "London Lamar" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $24.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Justin Pearson" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "London Lamar" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.