Martín Zubimendi enters the final stages of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League with only four yellow cards across 12 appearances and roughly 967 minutes for Arsenal, placing him well behind frontrunners who have accumulated more cautions through higher foul rates or extended playing time. As a central midfielder in a possession-oriented side, his disciplined positioning and lower volume of defensive challenges limit opportunities for bookings compared to more physical counterparts in deeper runs. The 0.1% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these structural disadvantages, though a late surge in high-stakes matches could theoretically narrow the gap if rivals receive suspensions or reduced minutes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAitor Paredes <1%
Santiago Hezze <1%
Declan Rice <1%
Mikel Merino <1%
$457,348 Vol.
$457,348 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Aitor Paredes
No
Santiago Hezze
No
Declan Rice
No
Mikel Merino
No
Kim Min-Jae
No
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
No
Lamine Yamal
No
Martín Zubimendi
No
Micky van de Ven
No
Konrad Laimer
No
Aitor Paredes <1%
Santiago Hezze <1%
Declan Rice <1%
Mikel Merino <1%
$457,348 Vol.
$457,348 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Aitor Paredes
$0 Vol.
No
Santiago Hezze
$0 Vol.
No
Declan Rice
$275,231 Vol.
No
Mikel Merino
$6,895 Vol.
No
Kim Min-Jae
$0 Vol.
No
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
$117 Vol.
No
Lamine Yamal
$80,784 Vol.
No
Martín Zubimendi
$94,321 Vol.
No
Micky van de Ven
$0 Vol.
No
Konrad Laimer
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Martín Zubimendi enters the final stages of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League with only four yellow cards across 12 appearances and roughly 967 minutes for Arsenal, placing him well behind frontrunners who have accumulated more cautions through higher foul rates or extended playing time. As a central midfielder in a possession-oriented side, his disciplined positioning and lower volume of defensive challenges limit opportunities for bookings compared to more physical counterparts in deeper runs. The 0.1% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these structural disadvantages, though a late surge in high-stakes matches could theoretically narrow the gap if rivals receive suspensions or reduced minutes.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$457,348End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Martín Zubimendi enters the final stages of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League with only four yellow cards across 12 appearances and roughly 967 minutes for Arsenal, placing him well behind frontrunners who have accumulated more cautions through higher foul rates or extended playing time. As a central midfielder in a possession-oriented side, his disciplined positioning and lower volume of defensive challenges limit opportunities for bookings compared to more physical counterparts in deeper runs. The 0.1% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these structural disadvantages, though a late surge in high-stakes matches could theoretically narrow the gap if rivals receive suspensions or reduced minutes.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$457,348End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Martín Zubimendi enters the final stages of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League with only four yellow cards across 12 appearances and roughly 967 minutes for Arsenal, placing him well behind frontrunners who have accumulated more cautions through higher foul rates or extended playing time. As a central midfielder in a possession-oriented side, his disciplined positioning and lower volume of defensive challenges limit opportunities for bookings compared to more physical counterparts in deeper runs. The 0.1% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these structural disadvantages, though a late surge in high-stakes matches could theoretically narrow the gap if rivals receive suspensions or reduced minutes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions