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Sports·UFC

Kyle Nelson – Terrance McKinney

Polymarket
Kyle Nelson
Kyle Nelson
KO/TKO
Terrance McKinney
Terrance McKinney
$598.79K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$559K Vol.

Totals

$27.0K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$7.9K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$838 Vol.

Nelson to win by KO/TKO?

$203 Vol.

McKinney to win by KO/TKO?

$3.1K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$279 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Nelson defeats Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Terrance McKinney defeats Kyle Nelson at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Terrance McKinney entered UFC Seattle's lightweight main card bout against Kyle Nelson as the clear trader favorite at around -185 implied probability, driven by his elite first-round finishing rate—five UFC KOs or TKOs under two minutes—and explosive wrestling pressure that overwhelms durable foes. Nelson, with a 17-6-1 record featuring recent unanimous decision win over Matt Frevola but TKO loss to Steve Garcia, boasted superior takedown defense (66%) and fight endurance, positioning him as a live +160 underdog capable of surviving early chaos. Both hit lightweight limit at Friday weigh-ins without issue, though McKinney tripped during ceremonial proceedings; no injuries reported. McKinney affirmed consensus with a 24-second TKO via head kick and ground strikes.

This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$598,789
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “McKinney vs. Nelson” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Terrance McKinney and the Kyle Nelson, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where McKinney is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Nelson at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “McKinney vs. Nelson” market has generated $598.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “McKinney vs. Nelson,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows TER1 at 100¢ and KYL1 at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “McKinney vs. Nelson” show Terrance McKinney at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Kyle Nelson at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “McKinney vs. Nelson” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Kyle Nelson – Terrance McKinney

Polymarket
Kyle Nelson
Kyle Nelson
KO/TKO
Terrance McKinney
Terrance McKinney
$598.79K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$559K Vol.

Totals

$27.0K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$7.9K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$838 Vol.

Nelson to win by KO/TKO?

$203 Vol.

McKinney to win by KO/TKO?

$3.1K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$279 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Nelson defeats Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Terrance McKinney defeats Kyle Nelson at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Terrance McKinney entered UFC Seattle's lightweight main card bout against Kyle Nelson as the clear trader favorite at around -185 implied probability, driven by his elite first-round finishing rate—five UFC KOs or TKOs under two minutes—and explosive wrestling pressure that overwhelms durable foes. Nelson, with a 17-6-1 record featuring recent unanimous decision win over Matt Frevola but TKO loss to Steve Garcia, boasted superior takedown defense (66%) and fight endurance, positioning him as a live +160 underdog capable of surviving early chaos. Both hit lightweight limit at Friday weigh-ins without issue, though McKinney tripped during ceremonial proceedings; no injuries reported. McKinney affirmed consensus with a 24-second TKO via head kick and ground strikes.

This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$598,789
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “McKinney vs. Nelson” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Terrance McKinney and the Kyle Nelson, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where McKinney is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Nelson at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “McKinney vs. Nelson” market has generated $598.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “McKinney vs. Nelson,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows TER1 at 100¢ and KYL1 at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “McKinney vs. Nelson” show Terrance McKinney at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Kyle Nelson at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “McKinney vs. Nelson” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.