Polymarket traders assign a 63% implied probability to WD-40 (WDFC) beating Q4 fiscal 2024 earnings consensus ahead of the October 17 report, reflecting the company's track record of three EPS beats in the past four quarters—including a 11% surprise in Q3—and a recent 6.8% dividend hike to $0.94 per share that drove shares up over 10% last week. Analysts project EPS of $1.32, up 15.8% year-over-year, on flat revenue of $144.5 million amid resilient demand for specialty lubricants in the Americas offsetting EMEA softness. Gross margin expansion from pricing actions and cost efficiencies supports optimism, though trading volume spikes signal positioning ahead of this key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedIf WD-40 releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If WD-40 releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 63% implied probability to WD-40 (WDFC) beating Q4 fiscal 2024 earnings consensus ahead of the October 17 report, reflecting the company's track record of three EPS beats in the past four quarters—including a 11% surprise in Q3—and a recent 6.8% dividend hike to $0.94 per share that drove shares up over 10% last week. Analysts project EPS of $1.32, up 15.8% year-over-year, on flat revenue of $144.5 million amid resilient demand for specialty lubricants in the Americas offsetting EMEA softness. Gross margin expansion from pricing actions and cost efficiencies supports optimism, though trading volume spikes signal positioning ahead of this key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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