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What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?

Market icon

What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?

Love Yourself 50%

Sorry 41%

Where Are Ü Now 38%

Beauty and a Beat 38%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,279 Vol.

Love Yourself 50%

Sorry 41%

Where Are Ü Now 38%

Beauty and a Beat 38%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,279 Vol.

Love Yourself

$5 Vol.

50%

Sorry

$5 Vol.

41%

Where Are Ü Now

$5 Vol.

38%

Beauty and a Beat

$5 Vol.

38%

Let Me Love You

$5 Vol.

38%

Boyfriend

$5 Vol.

33%

10,000 Hours

$15 Vol.

21%

Baby

$320 Vol.

27%

What Do You Mean?

$16,779 Vol.

13%

Ghost

$120 Vol.

8%

Cold Water

$9 Vol.

3%

Peaches

$5 Vol.

3%

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around Justin Bieber's early megahits from the Purpose era, with Sorry holding a slim 37.5% implied probability edge due to its enduring streaming dominance on Spotify and TikTok-driven revivals, positioning it as a high-energy crowd-pleaser for a potential Coachella opener. Boyfriend and collaborators' tracks like Where Are Ü Now and Beauty and a Beat trail closely at 33.0%–32.5%, reflecting nostalgic fan favorites from his teen pop peak that align with festival vibes and historical setlist patterns from the 2022 Justice World Tour, where upbeat singles kicked off shows. Absent confirmed participation or setlist leaks amid Bieber's post-baby hiatus, competitive dynamics hinge on social buzz and promoter hints ahead of April's festival, where surprise guests often debut fan-service bangers to ignite sets.

Trader sentiment clusters tightly around Justin Bieber's early megahits from the Purpose era, with Sorry holding a slim 37.5% implied probability edge due to its enduring streaming dominance on Spotify and TikTok-driven revivals, positioning it as a high-energy crowd-pleaser for a potential Coachella opener. Boyfriend and collaborators' tracks like Where Are Ü Now and Beauty and a Beat trail closely at 33.0%–32.5%, reflecting nostalgic fan favorites from his teen pop peak that align with festival vibes and historical setlist patterns from the 2022 Justice World Tour, where upbeat singles kicked off shows. Absent confirmed participation or setlist leaks amid Bieber's post-baby hiatus, competitive dynamics hinge on social buzz and promoter hints ahead of April's festival, where surprise guests often debut fan-service bangers to ignite sets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around Justin Bieber's early megahits from the Purpose era, with Sorry holding a slim 37.5% implied probability edge due to its enduring streaming dominance on Spotify and TikTok-driven revivals, positioning it as a high-energy crowd-pleaser for a potential Coachella opener. Boyfriend and collaborators' tracks like Where Are Ü Now and Beauty and a Beat trail closely at 33.0%–32.5%, reflecting nostalgic fan favorites from his teen pop peak that align with festival vibes and historical setlist patterns from the 2022 Justice World Tour, where upbeat singles kicked off shows. Absent confirmed participation or setlist leaks amid Bieber's post-baby hiatus, competitive dynamics hinge on social buzz and promoter hints ahead of April's festival, where surprise guests often debut fan-service bangers to ignite sets.

Trader sentiment clusters tightly around Justin Bieber's early megahits from the Purpose era, with Sorry holding a slim 37.5% implied probability edge due to its enduring streaming dominance on Spotify and TikTok-driven revivals, positioning it as a high-energy crowd-pleaser for a potential Coachella opener. Boyfriend and collaborators' tracks like Where Are Ü Now and Beauty and a Beat trail closely at 33.0%–32.5%, reflecting nostalgic fan favorites from his teen pop peak that align with festival vibes and historical setlist patterns from the 2022 Justice World Tour, where upbeat singles kicked off shows. Absent confirmed participation or setlist leaks amid Bieber's post-baby hiatus, competitive dynamics hinge on social buzz and promoter hints ahead of April's festival, where surprise guests often debut fan-service bangers to ignite sets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sorry" at 41%, followed by "Where Are Ü Now" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is "Sorry" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Where Are Ü Now" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.