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icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ended: May 5

Jul 28

Ended: May 5

Jul 28

Man on Fire: Season 1 100.0%

Stranger Things: Tales From '85 <1%

Unchosen <1%

BEEF: Season 2 <1%

Polymarket

$88,652 Vol.

Man on Fire: Season 1 100.0%

Stranger Things: Tales From '85 <1%

Unchosen <1%

BEEF: Season 2 <1%

Polymarket

$88,652 Vol.

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$1,805 Vol.

No

Unchosen

$8,512 Vol.

No

Man on Fire: Season 1

$66,950 Vol.

Yes

BEEF: Season 2

$1,066 Vol.

No

Hulk Hogan: Real American

$1,264 Vol.

No

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

$1,717 Vol.

No

Running Point: Season 2

$1,613 Vol.

No

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$4,489 Vol.

No

Straight to Hell: Season 1

$1,237 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Man on Fire: Season 1 commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the top global Netflix show this week, fueled by its explosive premiere last week, where it amassed 11 million views in just four days to claim the most-watched series spot for April 27–May 3.** Starring Emmy winner Yahya Abdul-Mateen II as a vengeance-driven mercenary in this adaptation of A.J. Quinnell's novel, the binge-worthy action thriller rocketed to No. 1 in nearly 50 countries, dethroning prior leader Unchosen amid strong critical buzz and social media traction. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects Netflix's weekly global Top 10 TV metrics, with no credible challengers like BEEF: Season 2 or Running Point: Season 2 showing comparable streaming numbers. Realistic upsets would require anomalous late-week data revisions or an unreported surge, though such shifts are rare post-release.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$88,652
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Man on Fire: Season 1 commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the top global Netflix show this week, fueled by its explosive premiere last week, where it amassed 11 million views in just four days to claim the most-watched series spot for April 27–May 3.** Starring Emmy winner Yahya Abdul-Mateen II as a vengeance-driven mercenary in this adaptation of A.J. Quinnell's novel, the binge-worthy action thriller rocketed to No. 1 in nearly 50 countries, dethroning prior leader Unchosen amid strong critical buzz and social media traction. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects Netflix's weekly global Top 10 TV metrics, with no credible challengers like BEEF: Season 2 or Running Point: Season 2 showing comparable streaming numbers. Realistic upsets would require anomalous late-week data revisions or an unreported surge, though such shifts are rare post-release.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$88,652
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 100%, followed by "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" has generated $88.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.