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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ended: May 12

Jul 28

Ended: May 12

Jul 28

Lord of the Flies <1%

Man on Fire <1%

Should I Marry A Murderer? <1%

Legends <1%

Polymarket

$26,600 Vol.

Lord of the Flies <1%

Man on Fire <1%

Should I Marry A Murderer? <1%

Legends <1%

Polymarket

$26,600 Vol.

Lord of the Flies

$2,287 Vol.

No

Man on Fire

$8,975 Vol.

No

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$3,934 Vol.

No

Legends

$1,279 Vol.

No

The Roast of Kevin Hart

$5,619 Vol.

No

Running Point

$1,502 Vol.

No

Unchosen

$638 Vol.

No

The Chestnut Man

$595 Vol.

No

The Boroughs

$624 Vol.

No

Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine

$1,146 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment remains highly fragmented in this week's US Netflix top show market, with leading contenders like Man on Fire, Should I Marry A Murderer?, Running Point, and Unchosen each hovering around 1% implied probability amid a crowded field of recent premieres. Fresh releases dominate the competition: Man on Fire's action-packed season 1 debuted atop early viewing metrics with over 12 million views, while true-crime limited series Should I Marry A Murderer? surged on binge appeal; Kate Hudson's Running Point season 2 added comedic momentum from its April launch, and Unchosen gained traction post-premiere. The Roast of Kevin Hart's live May 10 stream sparked viral buzz via celebrity roasters like Tom Brady, but thrillers like The Chestnut Man season 2 (100% Rotten Tomatoes) and Legends contend fiercely. Final viewership hours—Netflix's key metric—hinge on weekend streaming surges and algorithmic pushes, underscoring the volatility of weekly tops.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$26,600
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment remains highly fragmented in this week's US Netflix top show market, with leading contenders like Man on Fire, Should I Marry A Murderer?, Running Point, and Unchosen each hovering around 1% implied probability amid a crowded field of recent premieres. Fresh releases dominate the competition: Man on Fire's action-packed season 1 debuted atop early viewing metrics with over 12 million views, while true-crime limited series Should I Marry A Murderer? surged on binge appeal; Kate Hudson's Running Point season 2 added comedic momentum from its April launch, and Unchosen gained traction post-premiere. The Roast of Kevin Hart's live May 10 stream sparked viral buzz via celebrity roasters like Tom Brady, but thrillers like The Chestnut Man season 2 (100% Rotten Tomatoes) and Legends contend fiercely. Final viewership hours—Netflix's key metric—hinge on weekend streaming surges and algorithmic pushes, underscoring the volatility of weekly tops.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$26,600
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lord of the Flies" at 0%, followed by "Man on Fire" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" has generated $26.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Lord of the Flies" at just 0%, with "Man on Fire" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.