The art market's selective recovery underpins the 58.5% trader consensus favoring “No” on another $150 million-plus public sale by year-end. While May 2026 delivered a Jackson Pollock record at $181.2 million amid a $2.5 billion auction week, that outlier followed the 2025 Klimt landmark and reflects concentrated demand for trophy modern works rather than broad momentum. High-end supply remains limited, with dealers and auction houses noting a flight to quality and fewer fresh eight- and nine-figure consignments expected before the November sales. Economic caution, selective bidding depth, and the typical post-spring lull further temper expectations for another result crossing the threshold. Key near-term catalysts include any late single-owner collections or surprise private placements that could shift sentiment, yet current positioning suggests traders view a repeat as the less probable outcome.