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Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

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Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

78% chance
Polymarket
NEW
78% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Ye's recent X activity, including April 4 image posts and late March promotions for his new album Bully—featuring the Travis Scott-assisted track Father directed by Bianca Censori—has fueled trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability for another tweet by April 30, reflecting his pattern of sporadic engagement tied to music drops and live events like the Sofi show. The fresh UK Home Office visa denial blocking his Wireless Festival headline slot, announced within the last 24 hours and citing past antisemitic remarks, stands as a prime catalyst likely to prompt a response, given his history of addressing controversies publicly. While account deactivations follow rants (as in February 2025), current promo momentum and three weeks remaining temper ban risks in traders' aggregated sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
Volume
$835
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Ye's recent X activity, including April 4 image posts and late March promotions for his new album Bully—featuring the Travis Scott-assisted track Father directed by Bianca Censori—has fueled trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability for another tweet by April 30, reflecting his pattern of sporadic engagement tied to music drops and live events like the Sofi show. The fresh UK Home Office visa denial blocking his Wireless Festival headline slot, announced within the last 24 hours and citing past antisemitic remarks, stands as a prime catalyst likely to prompt a response, given his history of addressing controversies publicly. While account deactivations follow rants (as in February 2025), current promo momentum and three weeks remaining temper ban risks in traders' aggregated sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
Volume
$835
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 78% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 78¢, the market collectively assigns a 78% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" is 78% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 78% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.