Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,870,343 交易量
2026-05-31
May 1
Yes
May 2
No
May 3
No
May 4
No
May 5
Yes
May 6
No
May 7
No
May 8
No
May 9
No
May 10
No
May 11
No
May 12
No
May 13
No
May 14
No
May 15
No
May 16
No
May 17
No
May 18
No
May 19
Yes
May 20
No
May 21
No
May 22
Yes
May 23
No
May 24
No
May 25
No
May 26
No
May 27
No
May 28
No
May 29
No
May 30
No
May 31
No
$1,870,343 交易量
May 1
$233,270 交易量
Yes
May 2
$2,193 交易量
No
May 3
$3,829 交易量
No
May 4
$2,172 交易量
No
May 5
$4,943 交易量
Yes
May 6
$1,288 交易量
No
May 7
$3,825 交易量
No
May 8
$2,895 交易量
No
May 9
$2,709 交易量
No
May 10
$2,023 交易量
No
May 11
$2,556 交易量
No
May 12
$3,052 交易量
No
May 13
$3,699 交易量
No
May 14
$1,180 交易量
No
May 15
$1,210 交易量
No
May 16
$1,736 交易量
No
May 17
$23,805 交易量
No
May 18
$8,315 交易量
No
May 19
$1,676 交易量
Yes
May 20
$4,082 交易量
No
May 21
$4,359 交易量
No
May 22
$42,882 交易量
Yes
May 23
$4,763 交易量
No
May 24
$2,279 交易量
No
May 25
$1,470,354 交易量
No
May 26
$6,786 交易量
No
May 27
$5,213 交易量
No
May 28
$4,533 交易量
No
May 29
$4,443 交易量
No
May 30
$7,886 交易量
No
May 31
$6,389 交易量
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
交易量
$1,870,343結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
交易量
$1,870,343結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions