Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s centralized political system, reinforced by 2020 constitutional amendments enabling potential reelection through 2036, underpins trader expectations that he will remain president through December 2026. Recent activities reinforce this positioning: in May and June 2026 he conducted high-profile diplomacy with China’s Xi Jinping, addressed international media at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, and managed the ongoing Ukraine conflict while acknowledging battlefield frictions without signaling any power transition. No institutional challenges, elite defections, or scheduled leadership changes have emerged in the past month to alter the consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$7,746,404 交易量
$7,746,404 交易量
是
$7,746,404 交易量
$7,746,404 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s centralized political system, reinforced by 2020 constitutional amendments enabling potential reelection through 2036, underpins trader expectations that he will remain president through December 2026. Recent activities reinforce this positioning: in May and June 2026 he conducted high-profile diplomacy with China’s Xi Jinping, addressed international media at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, and managed the ongoing Ukraine conflict while acknowledging battlefield frictions without signaling any power transition. No institutional challenges, elite defections, or scheduled leadership changes have emerged in the past month to alter the consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions