Putin continues to exercise direct control over Russian governance and foreign policy as of mid-2026, with recent public appearances including addresses at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum where he outlined positions on the Ukraine conflict and economic matters. His current presidential term extends to 2030 under constitutional provisions allowing potential further runs, and no official announcements or elite signals point to resignation, incapacitation, or forced removal in the near term. Analyses of the power structure emphasize the absence of a designated successor and Putin's balancing of security and economic elites, reducing near-term transition risks. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability for "No" aligns with this continuity, as short-term removal by late 2026 would require unforeseen shocks such as sudden health events or major internal upheaval absent in recent developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$7,721,512 交易量
$7,721,512 交易量
是
$7,721,512 交易量
$7,721,512 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin continues to exercise direct control over Russian governance and foreign policy as of mid-2026, with recent public appearances including addresses at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum where he outlined positions on the Ukraine conflict and economic matters. His current presidential term extends to 2030 under constitutional provisions allowing potential further runs, and no official announcements or elite signals point to resignation, incapacitation, or forced removal in the near term. Analyses of the power structure emphasize the absence of a designated successor and Putin's balancing of security and economic elites, reducing near-term transition risks. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability for "No" aligns with this continuity, as short-term removal by late 2026 would require unforeseen shocks such as sudden health events or major internal upheaval absent in recent developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions