**Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s political system, backed by constitutional term-limit resets in 2020 and his March 2024 reelection, makes removal by the end of 2026 highly unlikely in traders’ view.** His current six-year term runs through 2030, and recent public statements confirm he retains the legal option to seek another mandate afterward. As of mid-2026, Putin continues active governance, including keynote addresses at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and bilateral diplomacy, with no verified health or institutional developments signaling an early exit. Suppressed opposition, elevated approval ratings near 86 percent, and elite consolidation further reduce near-term succession pressure. While long-term uncertainty exists around health or elite dynamics, no catalysts have emerged in the past year that would shift the implied probability of him remaining in office through December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$7,587,511 交易量
$7,587,511 交易量
是
$7,587,511 交易量
$7,587,511 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
**Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s political system, backed by constitutional term-limit resets in 2020 and his March 2024 reelection, makes removal by the end of 2026 highly unlikely in traders’ view.** His current six-year term runs through 2030, and recent public statements confirm he retains the legal option to seek another mandate afterward. As of mid-2026, Putin continues active governance, including keynote addresses at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and bilateral diplomacy, with no verified health or institutional developments signaling an early exit. Suppressed opposition, elevated approval ratings near 86 percent, and elite consolidation further reduce near-term succession pressure. While long-term uncertainty exists around health or elite dynamics, no catalysts have emerged in the past year that would shift the implied probability of him remaining in office through December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions