Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political institutions, security apparatus, and patronage networks, with no credible mechanism or elite consensus for his removal before year-end. Recent public appearances, including his keynote at the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and direct comments on constitutional term options, underscore continuity rather than transition. Ongoing management of the Ukraine conflict, including responses to Ukrainian strikes and diplomatic positioning, has shown no erosion of his authority. Traders assign the 90.5% probability to “No” because historical patterns of elite balancing, constitutional resets, and the absence of acute succession triggers within the resolution window align with sustained incumbency through December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$7,739,819 交易量
$7,739,819 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
是
$7,739,819 交易量
$7,739,819 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political institutions, security apparatus, and patronage networks, with no credible mechanism or elite consensus for his removal before year-end. Recent public appearances, including his keynote at the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and direct comments on constitutional term options, underscore continuity rather than transition. Ongoing management of the Ukraine conflict, including responses to Ukrainian strikes and diplomatic positioning, has shown no erosion of his authority. Traders assign the 90.5% probability to “No” because historical patterns of elite balancing, constitutional resets, and the absence of acute succession triggers within the resolution window align with sustained incumbency through December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$7,739,819結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political institutions, security apparatus, and patronage networks, with no credible mechanism or elite consensus for his removal before year-end. Recent public appearances, including his keynote at the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and direct comments on constitutional term options, underscore continuity rather than transition. Ongoing management of the Ukraine conflict, including responses to Ukrainian strikes and diplomatic positioning, has shown no erosion of his authority. Traders assign the 90.5% probability to “No” because historical patterns of elite balancing, constitutional resets, and the absence of acute succession triggers within the resolution window align with sustained incumbency through December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,739,819結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political institutions, security apparatus, and patronage networks, with no credible mechanism or elite consensus for his removal before year-end. Recent public appearances, including his keynote at the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and direct comments on constitutional term options, underscore continuity rather than transition. Ongoing management of the Ukraine conflict, including responses to Ukrainian strikes and diplomatic positioning, has shown no erosion of his authority. Traders assign the 90.5% probability to “No” because historical patterns of elite balancing, constitutional resets, and the absence of acute succession triggers within the resolution window align with sustained incumbency through December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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