Putin’s entrenched position as Russia’s president, with a term extending to 2030 and constitutional eligibility for another until 2036, underpins the 90.5% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent statements, including his June 2026 sidestep of questions about longevity in power while affirming the legal pathway forward, reinforce trader views of continuity amid elite balancing and suppression of opposition. Ongoing commitment to Ukraine war objectives, state media control, and absence of acute succession triggers or verified incapacitation further stabilize expectations. Sporadic health speculation from public appearances has not altered this consensus, as no institutional or elite challenge has materialized to shift probabilities before the resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$7,739,775 交易量
$7,739,775 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
是
$7,739,775 交易量
$7,739,775 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin’s entrenched position as Russia’s president, with a term extending to 2030 and constitutional eligibility for another until 2036, underpins the 90.5% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent statements, including his June 2026 sidestep of questions about longevity in power while affirming the legal pathway forward, reinforce trader views of continuity amid elite balancing and suppression of opposition. Ongoing commitment to Ukraine war objectives, state media control, and absence of acute succession triggers or verified incapacitation further stabilize expectations. Sporadic health speculation from public appearances has not altered this consensus, as no institutional or elite challenge has materialized to shift probabilities before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$7,739,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin’s entrenched position as Russia’s president, with a term extending to 2030 and constitutional eligibility for another until 2036, underpins the 90.5% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent statements, including his June 2026 sidestep of questions about longevity in power while affirming the legal pathway forward, reinforce trader views of continuity amid elite balancing and suppression of opposition. Ongoing commitment to Ukraine war objectives, state media control, and absence of acute succession triggers or verified incapacitation further stabilize expectations. Sporadic health speculation from public appearances has not altered this consensus, as no institutional or elite challenge has materialized to shift probabilities before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,739,786結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s entrenched position as Russia’s president, with a term extending to 2030 and constitutional eligibility for another until 2036, underpins the 90.5% implied probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent statements, including his June 2026 sidestep of questions about longevity in power while affirming the legal pathway forward, reinforce trader views of continuity amid elite balancing and suppression of opposition. Ongoing commitment to Ukraine war objectives, state media control, and absence of acute succession triggers or verified incapacitation further stabilize expectations. Sporadic health speculation from public appearances has not altered this consensus, as no institutional or elite challenge has materialized to shift probabilities before the resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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