Vladimir Putin’s current six-year term, secured in the 2024 election under 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits to allow service through 2036, forms the core structural barrier to an exit by December 31, 2026. No formal succession process or designated successor exists, and elite balancing within Russia’s political system continues to consolidate authority around the incumbent. At the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Putin described any discussion of remaining in office until 2036 as premature while noting health as the sole variable, with no public statements or actions signaling resignation. Ongoing management of the Ukraine conflict and domestic priorities shows no fractures sufficient to force departure, leaving trader consensus at 91.5% against removal by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$7,151,814 交易量
$7,151,814 交易量
是
$7,151,814 交易量
$7,151,814 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s current six-year term, secured in the 2024 election under 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits to allow service through 2036, forms the core structural barrier to an exit by December 31, 2026. No formal succession process or designated successor exists, and elite balancing within Russia’s political system continues to consolidate authority around the incumbent. At the June 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Putin described any discussion of remaining in office until 2036 as premature while noting health as the sole variable, with no public statements or actions signaling resignation. Ongoing management of the Ukraine conflict and domestic priorities shows no fractures sufficient to force departure, leaving trader consensus at 91.5% against removal by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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