Putin's regime maintains firm control through expanded FSB authority, elite purges, and heightened personal security measures amid reports of internal factional tensions. Upcoming State Duma elections from September 18-20 are proceeding on schedule as a signal of stability, even as approval ratings have eased from wartime peaks to the mid-60s to low-80s range depending on the pollster. Ukrainian strikes and war costs have fueled elite divisions and public fatigue, yet no organized military or political challenge has materialized in 2026. Traders price the low probability of a coup attempt on the absence of credible alternative power centers, the regime's demonstrated capacity to neutralize dissent, and the continuation of routine governance processes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6% 機率
$131,351 交易量
$131,351 交易量
2026-12-31
6% 機率
$131,351 交易量
$131,351 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's regime maintains firm control through expanded FSB authority, elite purges, and heightened personal security measures amid reports of internal factional tensions. Upcoming State Duma elections from September 18-20 are proceeding on schedule as a signal of stability, even as approval ratings have eased from wartime peaks to the mid-60s to low-80s range depending on the pollster. Ukrainian strikes and war costs have fueled elite divisions and public fatigue, yet no organized military or political challenge has materialized in 2026. Traders price the low probability of a coup attempt on the absence of credible alternative power centers, the regime's demonstrated capacity to neutralize dissent, and the continuation of routine governance processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$131,351結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's regime maintains firm control through expanded FSB authority, elite purges, and heightened personal security measures amid reports of internal factional tensions. Upcoming State Duma elections from September 18-20 are proceeding on schedule as a signal of stability, even as approval ratings have eased from wartime peaks to the mid-60s to low-80s range depending on the pollster. Ukrainian strikes and war costs have fueled elite divisions and public fatigue, yet no organized military or political challenge has materialized in 2026. Traders price the low probability of a coup attempt on the absence of credible alternative power centers, the regime's demonstrated capacity to neutralize dissent, and the continuation of routine governance processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$131,351結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETPutin's regime maintains firm control through expanded FSB authority, elite purges, and heightened personal security measures amid reports of internal factional tensions. Upcoming State Duma elections from September 18-20 are proceeding on schedule as a signal of stability, even as approval ratings have eased from wartime peaks to the mid-60s to low-80s range depending on the pollster. Ukrainian strikes and war costs have fueled elite divisions and public fatigue, yet no organized military or political challenge has materialized in 2026. Traders price the low probability of a coup attempt on the absence of credible alternative power centers, the regime's demonstrated capacity to neutralize dissent, and the continuation of routine governance processes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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