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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner

Kylian Mbappé 100.0%

Lamine Yamal <1%

Harry Kane <1%

Michael Olise <1%

Polymarket

$112,964 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé 100.0%

Lamine Yamal <1%

Harry Kane <1%

Michael Olise <1%

Polymarket

$112,964 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé

$23,754 Vol.

Yes

Lamine Yamal

$5,773 Vol.

No

Harry Kane

$4,893 Vol.

No

Michael Olise

$3,092 Vol.

No

Lionel Messi

$10,790 Vol.

No

Vinícius Jr.

$2,486 Vol.

No

Ousmane Dembélé

$4,585 Vol.

No

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,764 Vol.

No

Rodri

$13,041 Vol.

No

Rayan Cherki

$568 Vol.

No

Erling Haaland

$10,091 Vol.

No

Jude Bellingham

$22,579 Vol.

No

Pedri

$2,168 Vol.

No

Bruno Fernandes

$1,771 Vol.

No

Vitinha

$493 Vol.

No

Florian Wirtz

$906 Vol.

No

Neymar

$778 Vol.

No

Gavi

$807 Vol.

No

Bukayo Saka

$1,236 Vol.

No

Declan Rice

$1,385 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 World Cup group phase have kept the Bronze Ball market tightly bunched, with Harry Kane, Rayan Cherki, and Lionel Messi trading as the consensus frontrunners on the strength of pre-tournament form and squad roles. Kane’s prolific scoring record with Bayern and central attacking responsibility for England underpin his edge, while Cherki’s creative output in France’s midfield and Messi’s ongoing influence with Argentina sustain their proximity in trader pricing. Additional contenders such as Lamine Yamal, Ousmane Dembélé, and Pedri remain in striking distance because strong national-team trajectories and recent individual contributions can rapidly alter implied probabilities once knockout implications emerge. The clustered odds reflect broad uncertainty over which players will deliver standout tournament-long impact amid evenly matched group-stage fixtures and the potential for rotation or late surges.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$112,964
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 World Cup group phase have kept the Bronze Ball market tightly bunched, with Harry Kane, Rayan Cherki, and Lionel Messi trading as the consensus frontrunners on the strength of pre-tournament form and squad roles. Kane’s prolific scoring record with Bayern and central attacking responsibility for England underpin his edge, while Cherki’s creative output in France’s midfield and Messi’s ongoing influence with Argentina sustain their proximity in trader pricing. Additional contenders such as Lamine Yamal, Ousmane Dembélé, and Pedri remain in striking distance because strong national-team trajectories and recent individual contributions can rapidly alter implied probabilities once knockout implications emerge. The clustered odds reflect broad uncertainty over which players will deliver standout tournament-long impact amid evenly matched group-stage fixtures and the potential for rotation or late surges.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$112,964
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappé" at 100%, followed by "Lamine Yamal" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner" has generated $113K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner" is "Kylian Mbappé" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamine Yamal" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.