Iraq sits as the clear frontrunner to finish last in Group I after heavy opening losses that left it with zero points and the group’s worst goal difference. The side fell 1-4 to Norway and faces France next, a matchup that further cements its position at the bottom of the standings. Senegal, despite its own defeat to France, holds a stronger recent form and head-to-head edge against Iraq in the final matchday fixture, reducing the likelihood it joins Iraq on zero points. Norway and France have already secured victories and sit atop the table, making any finish lower than second improbable for either. Trader pricing reflects these results and remaining schedule dynamics, with Iraq viewed as the team most likely to end the group stage without a win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIraq 100.0%
France <1%
Senegal <1%
Norway <1%
$67,665 Vol.
$67,665 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
France
No
Senegal
No
Norway
No
Iraq
Yes
Iraq 100.0%
France <1%
Senegal <1%
Norway <1%
$67,665 Vol.
$67,665 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
France
$800 Vol.
No
Senegal
$7,746 Vol.
No
Norway
$788 Vol.
No
Iraq
$58,331 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq sits as the clear frontrunner to finish last in Group I after heavy opening losses that left it with zero points and the group’s worst goal difference. The side fell 1-4 to Norway and faces France next, a matchup that further cements its position at the bottom of the standings. Senegal, despite its own defeat to France, holds a stronger recent form and head-to-head edge against Iraq in the final matchday fixture, reducing the likelihood it joins Iraq on zero points. Norway and France have already secured victories and sit atop the table, making any finish lower than second improbable for either. Trader pricing reflects these results and remaining schedule dynamics, with Iraq viewed as the team most likely to end the group stage without a win.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$67,665End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq sits as the clear frontrunner to finish last in Group I after heavy opening losses that left it with zero points and the group’s worst goal difference. The side fell 1-4 to Norway and faces France next, a matchup that further cements its position at the bottom of the standings. Senegal, despite its own defeat to France, holds a stronger recent form and head-to-head edge against Iraq in the final matchday fixture, reducing the likelihood it joins Iraq on zero points. Norway and France have already secured victories and sit atop the table, making any finish lower than second improbable for either. Trader pricing reflects these results and remaining schedule dynamics, with Iraq viewed as the team most likely to end the group stage without a win.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$67,665End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Iraq sits as the clear frontrunner to finish last in Group I after heavy opening losses that left it with zero points and the group’s worst goal difference. The side fell 1-4 to Norway and faces France next, a matchup that further cements its position at the bottom of the standings. Senegal, despite its own defeat to France, holds a stronger recent form and head-to-head edge against Iraq in the final matchday fixture, reducing the likelihood it joins Iraq on zero points. Norway and France have already secured victories and sit atop the table, making any finish lower than second improbable for either. Trader pricing reflects these results and remaining schedule dynamics, with Iraq viewed as the team most likely to end the group stage without a win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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