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Sports·Silver Ball

World Cup: Silver Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Silver Ball Winner
Sports·Silver Ball

World Cup: Silver Ball Winner

Lionel Messi 100.0%

Kylian Mbappé <1%

Lamine Yamal <1%

Harry Kane <1%

Polymarket

$324,340 Vol.

Lionel Messi 100.0%

Kylian Mbappé <1%

Lamine Yamal <1%

Harry Kane <1%

Polymarket

$324,340 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé

$66,874 Vol.

No

Lamine Yamal

$24,097 Vol.

No

Harry Kane

$8,967 Vol.

No

Michael Olise

$13,052 Vol.

No

Lionel Messi

$118,402 Vol.

Yes

Vinícius Jr.

$1,907 Vol.

No

Ousmane Dembélé

$5,944 Vol.

No

Cristiano Ronaldo

$3,650 Vol.

No

Rodri

$17,993 Vol.

No

Rayan Cherki

$1,481 Vol.

No

Erling Haaland

$9,677 Vol.

No

Jude Bellingham

$40,188 Vol.

No

Pedri

$1,594 Vol.

No

Bruno Fernandes

$1,506 Vol.

No

Vitinha

$896 Vol.

No

Florian Wirtz

$1,247 Vol.

No

Neymar

$2,078 Vol.

No

Gavi

$1,783 Vol.

No

Bukayo Saka

$1,013 Vol.

No

Declan Rice

$1,991 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early group stage of the 2026 World Cup leaves Silver Ball contention wide open, with traders pricing a tight cluster of established stars and emerging talents near the top. Limited matches played so far mean form, goal contributions, and team advancement remain fluid, preventing any single player from pulling away. Harry Kane leads at 38% implied probability on the back of England’s expected depth, while Lionel Messi (33%) and Lamine Yamal (28%) draw support from Argentina’s and Spain’s strong pre-tournament positioning. Mid-tier names such as Kylian Mbappé, Jude Bellingham, and Pedri trade in the 6–12% range, reflecting their potential to post standout numbers if their sides advance deep. The bunched pricing captures broad uncertainty around individual impact in a 48-team field where upsets, rotation, and knockout heroics can still shift consensus quickly.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$324,340
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early group stage of the 2026 World Cup leaves Silver Ball contention wide open, with traders pricing a tight cluster of established stars and emerging talents near the top. Limited matches played so far mean form, goal contributions, and team advancement remain fluid, preventing any single player from pulling away. Harry Kane leads at 38% implied probability on the back of England’s expected depth, while Lionel Messi (33%) and Lamine Yamal (28%) draw support from Argentina’s and Spain’s strong pre-tournament positioning. Mid-tier names such as Kylian Mbappé, Jude Bellingham, and Pedri trade in the 6–12% range, reflecting their potential to post standout numbers if their sides advance deep. The bunched pricing captures broad uncertainty around individual impact in a 48-team field where upsets, rotation, and knockout heroics can still shift consensus quickly.

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$324,340
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Silver Ball Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lionel Messi" at 100%, followed by "Kylian Mbappé" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Silver Ball Winner" has generated $324.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Silver Ball Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Silver Ball Winner" is "Lionel Messi" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kylian Mbappé" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Silver Ball Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.