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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

icon for World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

$16,904,867 Vol.

Jun 28, 2026
Polymarket

$16,904,867 Vol.

Polymarket

South Korea

$1,480,115 Vol.

No

Czechia

$101,661 Vol.

No

Switzerland

$2,932,639 Vol.

Yes

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$161,184 Vol.

Yes

Morocco

$199,435 Vol.

Yes

Haiti

$168,510 Vol.

No

Australia

$170,792 Vol.

Yes

Turkiye

$260,674 Vol.

No

Ecuador

$186,334 Vol.

Yes

Curacao

$230,303 Vol.

No

Japan

$569,589 Vol.

Yes

Sweden

$325,870 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$430,570 Vol.

No

New Zealand

$171,362 Vol.

No

Uruguay

$99,199 Vol.

No

Cape Verde

$181,542 Vol.

Yes

Senegal

$269,848 Vol.

Yes

Iraq

$282,341 Vol.

No

Austria

$157,829 Vol.

Yes

Jordan

$117,593 Vol.

No

Colombia

$72,350 Vol.

Yes

Mexico

$105,322 Vol.

Yes

South Africa

$87,000 Vol.

Yes

Canada

$565,937 Vol.

Yes

Qatar

$186,245 Vol.

No

Brazil

$216,197 Vol.

Yes

Scotland

$558,379 Vol.

No

USA

$156,709 Vol.

Yes

Paraguay

$172,103 Vol.

Yes

Germany

$74,751 Vol.

Yes

Ivory Coast

$88,392 Vol.

Yes

Netherlands

$682,499 Vol.

Yes

Tunisia

$135,749 Vol.

No

Belgium

$175,959 Vol.

Yes

Egypt

$951,492 Vol.

Yes

Spain

$590,044 Vol.

Yes

Saudi Arabia

$227,685 Vol.

No

France

$256,675 Vol.

Yes

Norway

$177,204 Vol.

Yes

Argentina

$56,090 Vol.

Yes

Algeria

$222,114 Vol.

Yes

Portugal

$727,179 Vol.

Yes

Uzbekistan

$155,532 Vol.

No

England

$409,841 Vol.

Yes

Panama

$129,605 Vol.

No

DR Congo

$180,384 Vol.

Yes

Croatia

$260,379 Vol.

Yes

Ghana

$785,660 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early group stage results from the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 are shaping trader views on advancement probabilities, with 12 groups of four teams each sending the top two plus the eight best third-place finishers to the Round of 32. Recent opening fixtures show strong starts for hosts and favorites, including Mexico's 2-0 win over South Africa and England's 4-2 victory over Croatia featuring goals from Kane and Bellingham, while several groups remain tightly contested after one or two matches per side. Key upcoming factors include remaining group fixtures, goal difference tiebreakers, and squad depth amid a compressed schedule across North American venues. Official FIFA standings and injury reports from national team camps will drive further shifts in implied probabilities as the group phase progresses through late June.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,904,867
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early group stage results from the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 are shaping trader views on advancement probabilities, with 12 groups of four teams each sending the top two plus the eight best third-place finishers to the Round of 32. Recent opening fixtures show strong starts for hosts and favorites, including Mexico's 2-0 win over South Africa and England's 4-2 victory over Croatia featuring goals from Kane and Bellingham, while several groups remain tightly contested after one or two matches per side. Key upcoming factors include remaining group fixtures, goal difference tiebreakers, and squad depth amid a compressed schedule across North American venues. Official FIFA standings and injury reports from national team camps will drive further shifts in implied probabilities as the group phase progresses through late June.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,904,867
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Switzerland" at 100%, followed by "Bosnia and Herzegovina" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" has generated $16.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is "Switzerland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bosnia and Herzegovina" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.